New Somali Regional Census puts the population at 2.5 million

[Garaad Awal]

Awbarre is mostly rural; the last census showed a population of 500,000, with most of the SR being rural, aside from the major towns.

Ethiopia census will always try to downsize the population, it was estimated to be around 7.5m, local government has 25m on its website, the real population is somewhere in between.

K5 rural areas besides Fafaan is nomadic and very sparse. Fafaan follows the typical Ethio trend of low urbanization. Amhara & Oromo regions also have rural areas teeming people with tiny urban centers like Gonder or Adama.

It is clear K5 is roughly 3.5-4 million people

 

[Idilinaa]

K5 rural areas besides Fafaan is nomadic and very sparse. Fafaan follows the typical Ethio trend of low urbanization. Amhara & Oromo regions also have rural areas teeming people with tiny urban centers like Gonder or Adama.

It is clear K5 is roughly 3.5-4 million people

Besides Fafan, the zones with the highest population density are Shabelle, Liban, and Afder they are farming areas as well.

The rest of the Somali Region is more sparsely populated, with their own local urban centers. In most rural areas, people live in small villages rather than isolated homesteads so when people say 'rural,' they’re often referring to these village settings.

Fafan Zone has the highest level of urbanization. Aside from Jigjiga, it includes towns like Awbare, Dharwanaaje, Lefe Isa, Babile, Qabri Bayax, Harshin, Goljano, Tuli Gulled, and Hart Sheik.

Outside Fafan, two of the largest urban centers are:

Fiiq in Nogob Zone



Qabri Dahare in Korahare Zone


These towns serve as key regional hubs for commerce, administration, and population concentration outside the Jigjiga-Fafan core.

 

[Thegoodshepherd]

You can roughly estimate the population of the Somali Region by looking at NFD and Somalia. Population density in NFD and Somalia was somewhere between 20-25 per sq km in 2019. The Somali Region is 357,000 sq km, or 56% the size of Somalia. Take a density of 22.5 per sq km for the Somali Region and you have a population of 8 million in 2019. Assuming a population growth rate of 3% gives you a population of 9.5 million in the Somali Region in 2025.

If 2.5 million of those 9.5 are urban, that means that the Somali Region is 26% urban. This seems much more in line with what I know of the region than it being 14% urban.

ps. it is impossible for the Somali region to have a population of 4 million. The ESS (which assumes that the Somali % of Ethiopia's population has not gone up since 2007 lol) estimates the Somali Region's population at 7 million.
https://ess.gov.et/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Projected_Population-2024.pdf

 

[Sputnikaa]

You can roughly estimate the population of the Somali Region by looking at NFD and Somalia. Population density in NFD and Somalia was somewhere between 20-25 per sq km in 2019. The Somali Region is 357,000 sq km, or 56% the size of Somalia. Take a density of 22.5 per sq km for the Somali Region and you have a population of 8 million in 2019. Assuming a population growth rate of 3% gives you a population of 9.5 million in the Somali Region in 2025.

If 2.5 million of those 9.5 are urban, that means that the Somali Region is 26% urban. This seems much more in line with what I know of the region than it being 14% urban.

ps. it is impossible for the Somali region to have a population of 4 million. The ESS (which assumes that the Somali % of Ethiopia's population has not gone up since 2007 lol) estimates the Somali Region's population at 7 million.
https://ess.gov.et/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Projected_Population-2024.pdf

in 2019 both federal and DDS governments placed the estimates around 13.5 million , this is why DDS seats were increased in federal parliament and also the senate too

ethiopia cancelled national census in 2019, 2021 under abi ahmed and 2017 with TPLF - government said they are concerned it will chaos civil war, very direct

only 25% of Ethiopia has electricity so no surprise the vast majority of population are in country side

 

[Hotchick12]

People are complaining saying the new census puts us at 2.5 million instead of the old number of 10 million. This new census can't be real that would mean Afar region is more than usView attachment 367800View attachment 367801View attachment 367802View attachment 367803View attachment 367804

this bullshit the samaroon alone is at 2 million or more in galbeed

 

[Araabi]

this bullshit the samaroon alone is at 2 million or more in galbeed

This census isn't surveying rural farming settlements. It is only referencing urban populations. The vast majority of the Gadabursi (and Fafan in general) are agricultural and rural.

 

[enda_el]

This is what happens when you are a slave, you are counted as 1/4 human. 2.5*4=10 Million. These Somalis need to fight back and liberate the region from Ethiopia or stop the calacal. No habashi or Kenayati will give you fair census, it's simply not in their interest.

Somaliland literally helps them in their agenda