ONLF is waiting for ethnic federalism to be dismantled I heard their speaker say this. But why? Why wait for that crap?? Are they taking advantage of the development? Then when xabashi wanna make the move to dismantle ethnic federalism in the near future, they’ll make it clear that they have nothing to do with ethiopia and go to war??
@GaradShabeel what do you think?
It doesn't make sense to me either. First of all, Xabeshi and Oromos elites are both onboard with the agenda of centralization. Let's not give one of them a pass. Secondly, the plan on dismantling federalism will not happen overnight. Abiy is slowly moving power away from the regional states gradually until he finally can change the constitution as smooth as possible. Which will include end of federalism, end of right of self determination, less autonomy etc. Not to forget a resurgence of one ethnic hegemony. This time Oromos, from top to bottom.
He's already broken apart SNNP to five smaller (and weaker) states, state forces will mostly be incorporated into national army and federal police i.e. controlled by Addis. He got Prosperity party (loyal/puppet) presidents in every state and so forth. Moreover, look at the Amhara and Oromo state, it's the Amhara/Oromo elites who are directly/indirectly abetting Abiy's military campaign against their people.
With that said, the longer time that goes by, the harder it will be for ONLF or any other entities/movements to act. And probably too late. Unless entire Ethiopia unites against arat kilo. As far as going to war? We've already seen the aftermath in Tigray who were more armed than us, more trained, and better better terrains to engage in guerilla. How did it end?
