Map of control in Somalia (Updated Nov 2025) How cooked are we?

[3LetterzMM]

What the f*ck is going on in konfuur 34yrs of civil war billions spent in military aid and al shabaab is still a dominant force controlling more land then the fgs this country is a joke my nigga who knows maybe in another 30yrs niggas will take back two villages really show them who’s boss eh

 

[Burqad]

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What the f*ck is going on in konfuur 34yrs of civil war billions spent in military aid and al shabaab is still a dominant force controlling more land then the fgs this country is a joke my nigga who knows maybe in another 30yrs niggas will take back two villages really show them who’s boss eh

The most incompetent and corrupt government vs the most insane and evil insurgents

 

[Mohmed]

I'm not familiar with Somalia's landscape, but wouldn't the territory occupied by the terrorists be considered sparsely populated and really flat? Wouldn't it be unfair to compare cities or territories under the control of the FGS, areas that are densely populated with countryside or barren, arid desert regions populated mostly by nomads and single-clan enclaves? I'm not excusing the FGS, but you’ve got to give them some slack, right? I don't know much about how much life is like in the middle of southern Somalia so bare with me here.

 

[cunug3aad]

Fgs wont do anything for these tuulo people welfare or investment or law and order so they turn to alshabaab to provide it for them Thats why alshabaab is so strong. If the government one day wanted inay si fican isku habeyso alshabaab would be defeated

Think of alshabaab as calaamad of the distrust that these tuulo having in the fgs

 

[Hamrawi]

AS isn't really hard to get rid of. The offensives in 22 were good. The momentum is lost for now. Every leader focuses on siyaasad fully. When election time is near

 

[Zak12]

What the f*ck is going on in konfuur 34yrs of civil war

Al-Shabab has only been active against FGS for 16 years, not 34. And I honestly wouldn't call them a dominant force either. They don't control a single major town, only tuulos.

 

[Maintainnnin]

Instead of building its governance capacity and evolving into a more equitable and representative system, the FGS has instead focused on being a foreign aid looting scheme. These bums in Muqdisho are only now trying to get their act together and be a real government because the appetite for funding them by the hundreds of millions has drastically diminished. We're essentially starting where we should have been back in 2012. The good news is that AS isn’t exactly hard to defeat. The bad news is, if more pressure isn't brought down on the FGS via foreign aid cuts they might find a new equilibrium where they continue as a looting operation, but just to a lesser extent.

 

[Barkhadle1520]

Instead of building its governance capacity and evolving into a more equitable and representative system, the FGS has instead focused on being a foreign aid looting scheme. These bums in Muqdisho are only now trying to get their act together and be a real government because the appetite for funding them by the hundreds of millions has drastically diminished. We're essentially starting where we should have been back in 2012. The good news is that AS isn’t exactly hard to defeat. The bad news is, if more pressure isn't brought down on the FGS via foreign aid cuts they might find a new equilibrium where they continue as a looting operation, but just to a lesser extent.

They had 20 years to prepare for whats coming in 2026, if the next president doesn't change everything in a few months its going to be the end of Somalia, at least the stalemate is ending so that's that