Kheyre, Madobe, Sh. Sharif link up in Nairobi.

[TheLand]

Unlike Farmaajo who tried this before. HSM has a lot of supporters in Mogadishu. He is going to hold it down. No one can challenge him when he is declared President and if they do the resulting war will be the end of the this whole show.

So we have HSM easy win, or at best for the oppositon 1991 stalemate.

I think HSM has some supporters among the IC who are right now playing a double game because they signed on the international partners statement calling for unity but secretly they support HSMs push.

why would the IC support him knowing what a failure it will be? Sounds like what you really mean is the IC doesn’t support SL independence and you interpret that as IC support for him. Get your glasses checked cause that ain’t it.

 

[Step a side]

Unlike Farmaajo who tried this before. HSM has a lot of supporters in Mogadishu. He is going to hold it down. No one can challenge him when he is declared President and if they do the resulting war will be the end of the this whole show.

So we have HSM easy win, or at best for the oppositon 1991 stalemate.

I think HSM has some supporters among the IC who are right now playing a double game because they signed on the international partners statement calling for unity but secretly they support HSMs push.

lol you are funny. HSM is weaker than Farmaajo. Farmaajo had SNA troops in Xamar. HSM has non of that. Xamar might be home to many different people but the fact remains that only 2 tribes are heavily militarised in Xamar, Murusade and Abgal. The former will be backing Kheyre while the latter are either backing Shareef or staying neutral. Either way the odds are stacked against HSM. 4/5 entrance/exit to Villa Somalia are controlled by Murusade as it runs through their neighbourhoods. Reer Xamar don’t want another civil war so xoog won’t work for HSM. He will step down or will be dragged out the Villa.

 

[AlteKartel]

Whoever wins this time is screwed too. Shabaab at the gates and probably no amison funding, all government land looted and sold off, etc. It will be a more difficult period than the last 2 decades.

I think it’s still manageable. Definitely difficult but possible if there’s a gov interested in statecraft and not looting public land.

 

[Jaale Ugaas]

One of the things i hate the most about somali politics is the fact that you've got these politicians always meeting up in a foreign country.

It's honestly one of the most pathetic things about our situation. Right after the fact that most of the Somali politicians answer to some ajnavi country

Nobody trusts each other, they won't go to Kismayo for fear of AS, they won't go to Xamar for fear of HSM, they won't go to Dhusmareeb for fear of lack of security and mooryans. They're compelled to hold these events outside of the country because there is no venue safe enough for high level political discussion like this. It's why all the big politicians only gather at afisone on the eve of election night. Never before we will they all meet up together unless they're security is 100% guaranteed aka they have to be in a clan stronghold.

 

[TheLand]

Nobody trusts each other, they won't go to Kismayo for fear of AS, they won't go to Xamar for fear of HSM, they won't go to Dhusmareeb for fear of lack of security and mooryans. They're compelled to hold these events outside of the country because there is no venue safe enough for high level political discussion like this. It's why all the big politicians only gather at afisone on the eve of election night. Never before we will they all meet up together unless they're security is 100% guaranteed aka they have to be in a clan stronghold.

Not only that but in this instance Culusow won’t let them hold their meetings in Xamar. Basically there is no freedom of speech or freedom to gather. It’s like if Trump said democrats can’t meet in D.C.

 

[Removed]

Heard they discussing election plans and how to step in front of it.

Makes sense I forgot HSM was still trying to sabotage the election entirely. If he still hasnt pivoted from that dead operation he must really have nothing else in hand.

Bro we moving to 1p1v, he's no longer a relevant stakeholder.

get with the program

Same thing Cheese said and in the end he couldnt even keep Madoobe from hand-picking Gedos mps in the indirect elections.

1m1v wont happen until AS is defeated.

 

[Namekian]

Why do I get the feeling Madobe will be running for president? That would be a wildcard ngl