Your goal here is to hold an election in Buale and then come for Kismayo after having “elected” a MX the SNA have fought very hard to secure lower shabelles highway so the question is why will it be so much easier in the AS heartland middle jubba.
The likelihood of them even reaching Buale in there term is not likely in my opinion and even if they do they will elect someone like Seerar and we will watch Mwalimus jaw drop. Your not even on the court until you have secured Buale though so come back next time my friend.
The Juba valley is the heartland of Alshabab, its is where all of their leaders live. The FGS has not even secured Lower Shabelle yet, they were bragging about taking Janaale two months ago and its only 35 miles from Banadir. Middle Juba can only be taken by the Ethiopians, and they are not interested in a bloody months long battle.