I Need Help From Economists

DR OSMAN

AF NAAREED
VIP
Why doesn't anyone help me, I always share my knowledge where I know it's strong to help others. But when-ever I have GAPS in my knowledge, no-one comes to the rescue.

I know the basics of economy is production vs consumption and the main actors involved primarily being business, consumers, and govt thru it's regulations/taxes and other instruments. The ideal situation in an economy is to set production so it doesn't exceed or undersupply demand. Why? u don't want excess of goods cause u will need to export it and sell it at a lower pricee becuz your 'desperate'. U also obviously don't want to under-supply and lose out on consumption. So the ideal situation is production-consumption being in perfect union. Lots of instruments are used by economist, which I won't go into detail.

But what I want to know is Central Banks. This is where money is supplied to private banks to support the market by providing the needed capital such as business loans-mortgages-vehicle purchases-investment capital. I get that part and I know they use instruments and a range of them to ensure this isn't oversupplied or undersupplied also but matches market demand.

What I want to know is the 'interest rate' component that central bank set before supplying private bank. Do banks pay that interest rate back to central bank? for example the bank loans a million and at 5% interest rate. Do they pay back 1 million plus 5% to the central bank? Or are they setting the minimal interest rate for private banks saying u can't go below 5%. Becuz if the central bank is collecting interest from banks, it would be very wealthy, since it's getting a portion from the whole market. But my mind can't come to think why they would need it anyways, since they own the printing of currency and the problem is, if it starts to act like a business, it may become corrupted to business interest where-as when it's neutral with nothing to gain, it can be great stabilizer for the 'market'.
 

DR OSMAN

AF NAAREED
VIP
The unemployment level is definitely an instrument to gouge new demand in a market, as they will be new spenders across various industries. Even the type of 'income' is important. The savings is another instrument as it will fuel banks to redistribute to assets. Investment or investors at all scales of the economy is another instrument as what they do with their wealth. So u do need to find reliable instruments to gouge that. Business loans-Stock market-Properties are big areas to scan 4 that.

So u do need good record keeping by the following

1. Banks. Especially loans(property, business, vehicles)
2. Stock Market to gouge investor true wealth each year after living expenses
3. Unemployment levels from Govt and the types of new incomes entering market
4. Port or Factory Materials to gouge goods or materials coming each year
5. Govt spending for the year and where it's being spent in the market

I know the central bank is an important player due to the supply of currency but I don't understand how their instruments work.

I want to know this becuz this data is valuable to investors if u can collect all the data before deciding where to invest
 
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killerxsmoke

2022 GRANDMASTER
THE PURGE KING
VIP
Why doesn't anyone help me, I always share my knowledge where I know it's strong to help others. But when-ever I have GAPS in my knowledge, no-one comes to the rescue.

I know the basics of economy is production vs consumption and the main actors involved primarily being business, consumers, and govt thru it's regulations/taxes and other instruments. The ideal situation in an economy is to set production so it doesn't exceed or undersupply demand. Why? u don't want excess of goods cause u will need to export it and sell it at a lower pricee becuz your 'desperate'. U also obviously don't want to under-supply and lose out on consumption. So the ideal situation is production-consumption being in perfect union. Lots of instruments are used by economist, which I won't go into detail.

But what I want to know is Central Banks. This is where money is supplied to private banks to support the market by providing the needed capital such as business loans-mortgages-vehicle purchases-investment capital. I get that part and I know they use instruments and a range of them to ensure this isn't oversupplied or undersupplied also but matches market demand.

What I want to know is the 'interest rate' component that central bank set before supplying private bank. Do banks pay that interest rate back to central bank? for example the bank loans a million and at 5% interest rate. Do they pay back 1 million plus 5% to the central bank? Or are they setting the minimal interest rate for private banks saying u can't go below 5%. Becuz if the central bank is collecting interest from banks, it would be very wealthy, since it's getting a portion from the whole market. But my mind can't come to think why they would need it anyways, since they own the printing of currency and the problem is, if it starts to act like a business, it may become corrupted to business interest where-as when it's neutral with nothing to gain, it can be great stabilizer for the 'market'.
No one wants to help you cause you write essays my guy
:shookgabre:
 

DR OSMAN

AF NAAREED
VIP
Im not interested in restaurant sector becuz of the amount 'excess' just spoils away, and can't be resold even at a lower price. So I ticked that industry out
 

DR OSMAN

AF NAAREED
VIP
No one wants to help you cause you write essays my guy
:shookgabre:

I love essays becuz i want to know how u reached your conclusion, thru analysis or GOD FORBID, I fear it maybe guided by HAGNOMICS, HAGADEMICS, HAGALOGY. I seen that philosophy in the nation and I run from it.
 

DR OSMAN

AF NAAREED
VIP
Oh yeah I wud love to see tax rate by industry n regulations(where its an expense). I know its based on revenues. I wish these financial analysts actually did some real fkn work and give ppl this to access easily. I refuse to follow people n hordes methodology(MOMENTUM INVESTORS), I tried that route in my early years with own life and it's rubbish, I will never apply that investment philosophy either.

U need to find the 'gap' and to find it u need all that data. Im sick of forecasts n graph shit not even backed by historical graphs vs actual realities or even what variables they used, how in the world can someone be confident with that with their money baffles me. Im not a zuumali(im somali) who just accepts spredsheet data not with my money.
 
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DR OSMAN

AF NAAREED
VIP
If U want me to shorten my essay becuz I am linking it to REASON, in short u dumb fucks. U need GDP data in terms of 'actual growth' each year, then u need to find port data or factories to find what industry is being supplied more then it's normal yearly average, then it's about following unemployment data which town its unemployed changed meaning extra demand. Finally assessing bank loans n stock market.

U want to find where that 5% GDP growth is contained too, thats my style, then its about assessing large-medium-small players in that sector and scanning CEO by their quality n strategy to tap into that. Thats how u play investment not momentum nonsense or following hordes or god forbid forecasts. Thats how u tap into growing u capital against the predicted 'market growth'. But there is another way also 'cost cutting' meaning investors get the spoils, so u need to keep ur eye on what CEO is cost cutting while capturing market growth. He needs to present his CEO PLAN
 
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DR OSMAN

AF NAAREED
VIP
These following investment rules are SOUND as f*ck.

1. Diversify portfolio. Use 80/20 rule. Keep 80% in safe long-term growth. 20% play with risk but RESPONSIBLE risk as u get better increase the margin by 5%. 75/25 and so forth.

2. Ensure u have gold/antiques/land/property as part of ur defensive assets, it's something ur descendants can pull out when other market goods lost value becuz that's when they grow in value.

3. Use Warren Buffet 'value stock' method. I can't emphasise how 'value' is better then cheap or expensive, that gives u best 'growth' return. No point buying cheap where its not growing by good margins in comparison to something more expensive but it's growth is larger. Infact this value method is how all businesses are run to keep its operation lean.

4. Then use the data I mentioned in my essay to find those investments or make sure this is provided by financial analysts. Dont accept just 'forecasts' especially if its not backed by historical forecasts vs actualities n margin of error
 
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