Somalis should have a wealth of knowledge about state collapse and what can lead to it and how to prevent it. Let's study how Ethiopia armed up so many armed groups against siyad barre but they never got the rebel groups to sit down and agree on a post siyad barre Somalia.
What can this mean? it can only mean they were not interested in a post-siyad barre Somalia government and just armed up various groups who had no agreement between themselves on what to do post siyad barre, this is a recipe for state collapse with no recovery intentions.
Let's not repeat this mistake ever again. Before any clan considers toppling a government, let them ask the one seeking state collapse what their post govt model looks like, you will notice most of them have no post govt model.
For example look at these silly tigrayans who said their not seeking any power nor do they have any post abi ahmed models. They are simply repeating Somalia mistakes in 91. Ethiopia will just become an 80 ethnic group warzone. Let's study South Sudan who didn't discuss any post sudan model, look at them savages today killing and displacing each other into refugee camps.
So what can we learn as Somalis from this? We must never ever consider toppling a government that is functioning if you don't have any agreements on what the state will look like after the government is removed or else it will lead to a power struggle among tribes like South Sudan is now and if the tigrayans continue to push into Addis Ababa, even Ethiopia will become similar to 91 Somalia or South Sudan model.
This model of not having agreements signed between rebel groups only leads to factional wars for power and this will lead ppl to prefer the old system which provided stability and not the eventuating chaos that come from toppling governments with no post government agreements in place with opposition groups. May Somalia learn from this and never repeat the same mistakes again of 91.
Abdillahi Yusuf was the only one who could see Ethiopia had no intentions of a Somali state post siyad barre and locked him up so he doesn't encourage the other groups fighting to lay down their arms. USC N SNM continued fighting not knowing what lay ahead because Abdillahi Yusuf knew and was arrested but USC-SNM were never arrested because Ethiopia was laughing at them as they knew it wud lead to nothing but state collapse with no post recovery model even discussed.
What can this mean? it can only mean they were not interested in a post-siyad barre Somalia government and just armed up various groups who had no agreement between themselves on what to do post siyad barre, this is a recipe for state collapse with no recovery intentions.
Let's not repeat this mistake ever again. Before any clan considers toppling a government, let them ask the one seeking state collapse what their post govt model looks like, you will notice most of them have no post govt model.
For example look at these silly tigrayans who said their not seeking any power nor do they have any post abi ahmed models. They are simply repeating Somalia mistakes in 91. Ethiopia will just become an 80 ethnic group warzone. Let's study South Sudan who didn't discuss any post sudan model, look at them savages today killing and displacing each other into refugee camps.
So what can we learn as Somalis from this? We must never ever consider toppling a government that is functioning if you don't have any agreements on what the state will look like after the government is removed or else it will lead to a power struggle among tribes like South Sudan is now and if the tigrayans continue to push into Addis Ababa, even Ethiopia will become similar to 91 Somalia or South Sudan model.
This model of not having agreements signed between rebel groups only leads to factional wars for power and this will lead ppl to prefer the old system which provided stability and not the eventuating chaos that come from toppling governments with no post government agreements in place with opposition groups. May Somalia learn from this and never repeat the same mistakes again of 91.
Abdillahi Yusuf was the only one who could see Ethiopia had no intentions of a Somali state post siyad barre and locked him up so he doesn't encourage the other groups fighting to lay down their arms. USC N SNM continued fighting not knowing what lay ahead because Abdillahi Yusuf knew and was arrested but USC-SNM were never arrested because Ethiopia was laughing at them as they knew it wud lead to nothing but state collapse with no post recovery model even discussed.