Ex KG MP " Baydhabo is peaceful، May Allah deal with those who want to bring problems and instability to the region"

mohamedismail

Reewin. Lixda Gobol ee Maayland unii leh!
Idris Dhakhtar is totally right. Baydhabo has stability and peace, 2 things which are extremely important to the shacab. The "Mucaarad" who want to bring instability and dagaal to Baidoa simply for political purpose need to think twice. Baidoa and KGS as a whole is not in need of that.
 
Idris Dhakhtar is totally right. Baydhabo has stability and peace, 2 things which are extremely important to the shacab. The "Mucaarad" who want to bring instability and dagaal to Baidoa simply for political purpose need to think twice. Baidoa and KGS as a whole is not in need of that.

If the opposition decides to fight LG for not leaving after the end of his term, which seems to be their objectives, forget about fighting AS. Whatever territory left including Baydhabo will fall to AS when ATMIS leaves. Unless the Ethiopians decides to extend their stay.
 

mohamedismail

Reewin. Lixda Gobol ee Maayland unii leh!
If the opposition decides to fight LG for not leaving after the end of his term, which seems to be their objectives, forget about fighting AS. Whatever territory left including Baydhabo will fall to AS when ATMIS leaves. Unless the Ethiopians decides to extend their stay.
Very true.

Or if they make Baydhabo a warzone all the inhabitants will flee Baidoa to shabaab controlled areas. Currently 1 million plus people live in Baidoa 600k of which are IDPs. This could potentially cause a humanitarian crisis.

Ethiopians will most likely get involved if it gets serious. But question is will they side with HSM and mucaarad or Laftagareen.?
 

Grimmer

Reer guri
Can’t wait for baydhabo to be peaceful, my great grandmother lived there. May Allah protect the people of kgs.
 
Very true.

Or if they make Baydhabo a warzone all the inhabitants will flee Baidoa to shabaab controlled areas. Currently 1 million plus people live in Baidoa 600k of which are IDPs. This could potentially cause a humanitarian crisis.

Ethiopians will most likely get involved if it gets serious. But question is will they side with HSM and mucaarad or Laftagareen.?

Any instability will be a perfect opportunity for AS recruiting and enable them to implement raids at military basis and subsequently get stronger foothold in more territory.

I'm not sure who HSM will side with, but if he's serious about fighting AS he needs ally with whoever will likely lead to a quick defeat of AS. If he's smart, he'll ignore the opposition and co-operate with LG in the fight against AS, and then arrange an election afterwards where he dumps LG for a UPD candidate.

If he instead allies with the opposition now, no 'real' fighting in KG will start as long as foreign troops are present there. If the opposition are armed, then we might see a direct clash between their respective forces as they close in on each other. However, it will mostly depend on who the D&M subs will support (especially macawisleys), LG? Or the umbrella of opposition that hails from different sub-clans?
 

mohamedismail

Reewin. Lixda Gobol ee Maayland unii leh!
Any instability will be a perfect opportunity for AS recruiting and enable them to implement raids at military basis and subsequently get stronger foothold in more territory.

I'm not sure who HSM will side with, but if he's serious about fighting AS he needs ally with whoever will likely lead to a quick defeat of AS. If he's smart, he'll ignore the opposition and co-operate with LG in the fight against AS, and then arrange an election afterwards where he dumps LG for a UPD candidate.

If he instead allies with the opposition now, no 'real' fighting in KG will start as long as foreign troops are present there. If the opposition are armed, then we might see a direct clash between their respective forces as they close in on each other. However, it will mostly depend on who the D&M subs will support (especially macawisleys), LG? Or the umbrella of opposition that hails from different sub-clans?
Most likely LG. I believe he has more support on the ground.
 

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