All right, reasonable questions. Let us begin with the most basic one: Firstly, let draw a distinction between Xamar and Banadir*, and solely speak of Xamar, and with that being the case, Xamar receives nearly 3 billion USD in grants and aid, excluding other budgetary funds from Turkey, UAE, Qatar, Saudia etc (let us estimate that to be another 1bn), all intended for the whole of .So, almost 95% of which is currently expended in those 20 - 30 mile radius of Xamar with not much of it reaching Jawhar let alone Jamaame and farther afield.
In its current form, Xamar generates 300m in revenue out of the said 4bn it receives; now, how much revenue would Xamar be generating had said 4bn being relocated to Baydhaba? This was true when Baydhaba temporarily served as the seat of FGS.
Let me answer that: if we were to justly apportion said 4bn by FMSs, and consider Xamar an FMS, Xamar would get 15% of the said budget, a mere 570+ m instead of 4bn, and if we were then to go by Xamar's current revenue generating formulae, at 8% of said budget, its actual purse, by said formulae, would be 22.5m p.a. To better understand this, all the Federal contracts and services currently awarded to the locals will have gone to citizens elsewhere in the nation. You may ask Khadija Cosoble (was recently appointed an Ambassador), and Jibril (I think he is now Ambassador to Kenya) as to the astronomical numbers you were generating from the FGS in contracts alone.
In other words, reer Xamar (residents of the city) consume the budget for the entire nation, yet gripe about the burden of the Federal institutions of which budget and resources they devour. Do you not see the irony in that?
Do you then agree what you consider to be Xamar's revenue is indeed that of the nation being expended in Xamar whilst the rest of the country is doing by with pittance.
Let us put this to rest at first, and then we shall lance what PL contributes.
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* Banadir includes Sh Hoose / Dhexe whereas Xamar is, for now, the designated seat of the FGS till that has been codified and agreed upon. And with Sh Dhexe being part of HS, and Sh Hoose in SW, let us confine the scope of our conversation to Xamar, till otherwise has been decided.
Just to butt in on your first alinea, if you could enlighten me or share sources that point to the contradictory of the conclusion that I made, that would be great. Just to make sure, I hope you don't see this as a personal attack, as so many on here seem to do.
The Federal Somalia budget, which also includes accounts of grants totaling around
1 billion a third of which is raised in Mogadishu, mentions Turkey and UAE directly. You made the argument that the donations made by Turkey, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia total around an extra one billion for the city of Xamar, or an extra one billion that gets cooped by Xamar. Turkey is contributing $30 million in the form of budget support, followed by the United Arab Emirates offering $38.1 million to
the federal budget. The federal government, which has to spend money on international relations, has to subdivide the money between itself and the FMS. Saying that the federal government receives
less money than the money donated to Xamar is incredible strange,
especially considering Xamar has substantially fewer obligations.
So I
assume you mean the aid allocation that the
international organizations provide towards Somalia being coopted. Now we do have a source for that, and those paint a different picture.
The peak in 2020 is what I assume to be support made for both the coronavirus and famine. But if we compare the allocations for BRA (Banaadir Regional Administration- Limited to your definition (and mine) of Xamar) and Puntland, we see that as of 2021, BRA actually received
less of the aid allocation. This is on top of the $300 million generated in taxes taken away from the city that was used to fund the federal government.
Let's proceed to investigate where the claim of $4 billion being reallocated, with roughly 95% ""directed to Mogadishu"""", originates. It doesn't seem to come from the aid allocation, perhaps its from the grant heavy budget? Perhaps we can find evidence supporting this assertion within the $1 billion budget, wherein remember one-third is contributed by Mogadishu and subsequently utilized.
Once more, upon reviewing the most recent budget allocation data, we find no evidence to support the claim;
in fact, Puntland appears to be leading.
While I dont want to bore you out of your mind, retelling you what the sources say, the allocation of the rest of the budget cannot directly or indirectly be tied as "being spend on Xamar (the city). Administration leading with over 350 million of the budget.
Again, no sight to see of either the $4billion coopted by Xamar or even disproportionate favortism when it comes to budget allocations.
Now I looked around, trying to find the $4 billion being spend on Mogadishu, all we have is this quote.
".
..Since 2006, the U.S. has given more than $3 billion in humanitarian aid and $253 million in developmental aid since 2011. ".
The $3 billion figure refers to the cumulative aid given to Somalia in total. Furthermore, for the initial five to six years, approximately around 2011-2012, Mogadishu was a warzone with a significant presence of al-Shabaab in and around the city.
There is very little evidence to support the notion that Mogadishu receives more than its fair share of aid. This does not contradict claims made by Puntland stating that the federal government has ceased aid since 2023. However, attempting to merge the latter claim with a prior false claim of systematic overconsumption of aid funds by Xamar only serves to undermine the argument regarding recent budgetary warfare against Puntland.