Average temperature in Somalia over 95 years
- Thread starter World
- Start date
MI
Ted Kaczynski respecter
Actually, climate models predict a dramatic increase of precipitation in Somalia once warming exceeds 1.5 degrees above pre-industrial average. If we can prevent overgrazing and loss of fledging woodlands under this period this can decrease average temperature in parts of Somalia.
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World
VIP
I have read about potential precipitation increases across East Africa, though I remain sceptical given the fact that the opposite trend is happening.
However, I don't know where you got the information about decreased average temperature?
MI
Ted Kaczynski respecter
Give it time, globally we’re at a ~1° degree increase which no models have predicted will increase precipitation. Also, the latest models predict this effect mainly in Somalia IIRC with opposite or uncertain changes elsewhere.
Woodlands and thickets decrease temperatures through a process known as evapotranspiration and also provides shade and carbon sequestering. The effect can be so dramatic as to cool an area locally by 2-4° degrees compared to open plains or bare urban areas. This is a geographically limited effect though. Might just end up being a net neutral with the warming in mind, but I’m optimistic.
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I predict increased instances of flooding and famine in Somalia, as the flash floods remove all the nutrient top-soil and dump it into the ocean.
Apollo
VIP
@World, @Prince Abubu
Somalia will get a little bit greener according to various climatic projections, see:
http://koeppen-geiger.vu-wien.ac.at/shifts.htm
Download ''Global_Shift_A1FI_1976-2100_30m.kmz'' and open it in Google Earth.
The West should be really worried about the Maghreb, the Levant, and Persia close to Europe and they will become more unlivable in the future.
Somalia will get a little bit greener according to various climatic projections, see:
http://koeppen-geiger.vu-wien.ac.at/shifts.htm
Download ''Global_Shift_A1FI_1976-2100_30m.kmz'' and open it in Google Earth.
The West should be really worried about the Maghreb, the Levant, and Persia close to Europe and they will become more unlivable in the future.
What will happen to the Horn and the Swahili-East African countries? Those regions are already lush and green.
Apollo
VIP
The arid regions of Kenya (near Lake Turkana and Marsabit) and South Somalia (Gedo) apparantly will go from arid to semi-arid (more like the rest of South Somalia). Also, in K5 the same process will occur. Rest of Somaliweyn will say the same.
Eritrea seems to become drier by 2100. Perhaps because it is more northern while southern regions will experience a different process.
