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BREAKING NEWS Al Shabaab launch major raid in Muqdisho to free prisoners

Haven’t HSM demands for centralization caused this?

Also that area is very difficult ton fight in. It would probably require a multi year operation even before you get to Jilib.
Nah Madoobe didnt want to hold proper elections and FGS werent happy about that but the thing that escalated the situation was Madoobe attacking SNA in gedo with ethiopia troops
 
Nah lmao dont even start with that
It’s true though.
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Do you know what ICU means ?

Al Shabaab had only 9 seats out of 94, and they werent AQ during ICU, also dont understand whats the context behind that single page you linked it doesnt even have a date like a year of when this happened, most of ICU abandonned the fight against TFG cause they didnt want the US to bomb the shit out of everything, Shabaab were one of the only courts that refused to stop fighting so they did their own thing and most ICU fighters who also still wanted to fight just joined Shabaab, they went from a few hundreds to 2500 by 2009 and then around 5000 today

ICU was very diverse in ideology you had Salafis fighting alongside Sufis, you also had Somalis from all over Somaliweyn from Djibouti to NFD who fought for it, it was basically a united Islamic front against the warlods and they succeeded and united the whole south under them in a few months

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Garaad Awal

Former African
Proof?

AS leadership is dominated by Isaaq and Hawiye. The main clans provided foot soldiers are Hawiye and Rehaywen.

Only OG leader in AS was Madobe, and he is no longer a part of it.
None of the top leadership today is Isaaq. The current Emir is Biyoomaal Dir, The spokesperson is Hawiye, Shangole is Darod etc. Yes at one point Isaaqs were overrepresented is since many Isaaqs were veterans of the war against the Soviets and had AQ connections due to their time in AFG/PAK like Godane (Arap) and Al-Afghani (Habar Awal). But you literally have Mukhtar Robow who was chilling with Bin Laden & Zawihiri when 9/11 happened and is now a member of your govt. He was literally one of the highest ranking al Qaeda member from Somalia.
 
Al Shabaab had only 9 seats out of 94, and they werent AQ during ICU
Robow claimed to have foreknowledge of 9/11 from OBL himself, Godane was involved with them when he was in Pakistan, etc. They were always AQ.

The seats they had were rather important though. They also freely enforced bans on their own accord.

ICU was very diverse in ideology you had Salafis fighting alongside Sufis, you also had Somalis from all over Somaliweyn from Djibouti to NFD who fought for it, it was basically a united Islamic front against the warlods and they succeeded and united the whole south under them in a few months

Yes, this is true. However was it always going to remain this? Even with no invasion?
 
Proof?

AS leadership is dominated by Isaaq and Hawiye. The main clans provided foot soldiers are Hawiye and Rehaywen.

Only OG leader in AS was Madobe, and he is no longer a part of it.
The leader of AS is a Hawiye and one of the top members of its council is a darood (shoongle or whatever). Northerners were overrepresented because they were viewed as neutral and because they tended to have more military experience.
 
Al Shabaab will win the war. It is a matter of time and when foreign troops get tired and leave. They are just x10 more effective and x10 better with way less resources. Is what it is
 

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