It will turn into a semi desert in about 20 years as DDSI starts to tap into the the Shabelle river. Whereas the river now dries up south of Qoryooley, in 15-20 years it will dry up in Hiiraan. This means that Balcad, Jowhar and all of Lower Shabelle will be rendered useless.
This has actually happened before. In the 60s you used to have Banana plantations as far south as Kurtunwaarey and Sablaale, places that are entirely rain fed today.
futile dreaming,
dams will help cuz of the seasonal flooding/evaporation of water
even if ddsi taps into it, it'll be like Ethiopia/Egypt situation
The Shabelle river is already overdrawn during the dry season. This detailed study by FAO predicts that it will be overdrawn in the wet season also very soon by simply projecting forward medium population growth.
The Ogaden in Ethiopia will basically take Afgooye and move it to Goday.
Impacts of rising water demands in the Juba and Shabelle river basins on water availability in south Somalia
http://dabamirror.sci-hub.tw/fb740d32d885a1eadf775813d5e005fa/michalscheck2016.pdf
Lol, youre so bitter. You can keep dreaming, but the river won't dry up. You can choose to spend the next 20 years hoping for that though.@Col.Black the Shabelle will run dry, but the Juba will be going strong even in 2055. I celebrate the reduction of Hawiye power in Somalia by any means.
@embarassing you don’t seem to understand how rivers work. It does not matter how much storage capacity you build in Middle Shabelle, if the river is not reaching Middle Shabelle. Upstream abstraction starting in Imey and all the way through Hiiraan makes these kinds of projects a fool’s errand. It will be useable for 15 years max.
Lol, youre so bitter. You can keep dreaming, but the river won't dry up. You can choose to spend the next 20 years hoping for that though.
17 years is nothing long term, 2035 is tomorrow. The way things are going in DDSI with their 7.1 TFR, I think it is way less than 17 years. The study also used population figures from 2005, I am sure that if they were to adjust it to the 2014 population estimate, the timeline would have to move forward dramatically.
Guys ignore @Thegoodshepherd the guy has been making dua ever since last year for the Shabelle river to dry up. Little does he know due to the upstream nature of the Juba river and it’s over reliance on rain fall to push it down stream and irrigate what little vegetation of the banks it reaches it has a much higher possibility of drying up than shabelle river.
@Thegoodshepherd you can make dua, cry, scream all you want but the fact is we are already developing our Dams and rivers in Hiiran and managing it long term with competent engineers from Beesha and with help from Turkey, while you are praying for Mother Nature to accomplish something very unlikely.
I know this tears you up on this inside but try not to lose sleep over it
@Thegoodshepherd knows the value of this river and doesn't mean to come across as a hater