🚨💥🚨Janan lands in Beledhawo and fighting ensues!

[Jaale Ugaas]

I really don't see what Janan can do here. Unless he has an ace up his sleeve. Beledhawo airstrip under construction is occupied by JL forces and they've set up heavy defensive postions there. The gurmaad from Dolow has arrived and now they've brought the heavy weapons I was telling @Removed about so no more helicopters ferrying anybody in.

Dolow airport is already under JL control. That leaves Garbaharey as the closest airport but the distance between Garbaharey and Beledhawo is infested with AS unlike Beledhawo to Dolow corridor which is relatively safer.

The only option now is for the FGS to land massive amount of weapons and ciidan to Garbaharey cross AS no mans land and the finally reach Beledhawo to relieve Janan. His only saving grace is that he has been working day and night to get JL forces to defect by promising pay raises and promotions as well as him occuping Xero UK which is the best possible ground for someone on a defensive stance.

If I'm right he will attempt to attack early in the morning to the suprise of JL forces and try and over run them. (They are spread thin across the city in the new positions around the customs office and border, office of the DC, positions around Xero UK, airport and the main roundabout.

 

[The Oponian Guild]

Some of Gurguurte's militia were captured.

This is old, from Raskamboni engagement

 

[Beyle]

Hiiraale is more experienced Military wise but his getting too old. I hope he enjoys his retirement and gets to see Kismayo liberated again before old age catches up with him.

Inshallah walal . I had high hopes when he went gedo last year, hes a proper old school mx with ambition. Pretty sure he wanted to go bardere and start an offensive to take bu’ale which is a better plan then whatever janan is doing

 

[tyrannicalmanager]

Has Janan ever won a single battle in his whole career?

 

[Removed]

Inshallah walal . I had high hopes when he went gedo last year, hes a proper old school mx with ambition. Pretty sure he wanted to go bardere and start an offensive to take bu’ale which is a better plan then whatever janan is doing

 

[Barkhadle1520]

What happened to fighting Al shabab? Why's the monkey in muqdisho sending militias to attack already peaceful federal states, this is crazy wallahi.

His troops dont even want to fight shabaab because of salary cuts what makes them think they will risk their lives fighting other somalis in JL for no reason, Hutu caqli needs to be studied

 

[therandomone]

Looks like they are not even fihjting alshabab anymore. In their mind they already lost. The moment amisom withdraws alshabab will take over

 

[Jaale Ugaas]

Very calm rn in the city, Col Cabaas gurmaad is here and so is maxamud Sayid Aden.

 

[Jaale Ugaas]

Janan says all citizens must stay away from Madobe loyalists and asks for them to leave the city or shelter in a safer location away from the important centers of power in the city. This map gives you a rough idea of what's going on.

Yellow is Ahmed Madobe loyalists who have control over the whole city.

Black is no mans land. This is where fighting will take place if the Madobe loyalists go on the offensive.

The small blue circle is Xero UK which is completely under the control to FGS aligned millitas under Janan.

 

[Jaale Ugaas]

Janan says all citizens must stay away from Madobe loyalists and asks for them to leave the city or shelter in a safer location away from the important centers of power in the city. This map gives you a rough idea of what's going on. View attachment 368083

Yellow is Ahmed Madobe loyalists who have control over the whole city.

Black is no mans land. This is where fighting will take place if the Madobe loyalists go on the offensive.

The small blue circle is Xero UK which is completely under the control to FGS aligned millitas under Janan.

No Electricity, No Water, Limited Food supply.

The only thing Janan is counting on now is the FGS sending large amounts of money so he can buy off Madobe loyalists and bolster his own numbers.

I predict Madobe loyalists will attack in the dead of the night or early in the morning hoping to catch Janan by suprise at the most opportune moment. It really looks like he's stuck. No gurmaad can from Garbaharey to Beldhawo in that short amount of time.

 

[Jaale Ugaas]

No Electricity, No Water, Limited Food supply.

The only thing Janan is counting on now is the FGS sending large amounts of money so he can buy off Madobe loyalists and bolster his own numbers.

I predict Madobe loyalists will attack in the dead of the night or early in the morning hoping to catch Janan by suprise at the most opportune moment. It really looks like he's stuck. No gurmaad can from Garbaharey to Beldhawo in that short amount of time.

If somehow FGS gurmaad can save Janan in time the game will go back to 50/50 but if I was a betting man I'd put my life savings on Madobe's ciidan rn

 

[Hilmaam]

If somehow FGS gurmaad can save Janan in time the game will go back to 50/50 but if I was a betting man I'd put my life savings on Madobe's ciidan rn

whats man power levels. is backup coming by plane and from where for fgs?

 

[Abdisamad]

If somehow FGS gurmaad can save Janan in time the game will go back to 50/50 but if I was a betting man I'd put my life savings on Madobe's ciidan rn

How the FGS send this man to his demise? Did the helicopters he arrived with flee back to muqdisho?

 

[Jaale Ugaas]

whats man power levels. is backup coming by plane and from where for fgs?

Nobody has exact numbers but Madobe loyalists outnumber FGS aligned millitas by far. They have support from local police and Daarawish aswell as Col Cabaas gurmaad from Ceelwaaq and Ina Lafey gurmaad from Dolow.

They occupy the airport, xarunta mamulka degmada, customs, university, Balad Amin, and the main roundabout as well as buurta celi dhere.

Backup from FGS was supposed to come today but to no avail. At the most janans men have only 48 hours left before they start starving. Planes from Xamar to Garbaharey and then 90 Kms ish distance to Beledhawo throught AS territory.

It's be ironic if somehow they make it throught unscahed even thought they were complaing about JL forces moving throught AS territory safely during Ras Kamboni fiasco.

 

[Jaale Ugaas]

How the FGS send this man to his demise? Did the helicopters he arrived with flee back to muqdisho?

I'm guessing he knows something we don't. Helicopters are grounded as seekawe and zuugs were brought from Dolow so they will be shot down if they try to leave.

I know they're praying salad Isha asking Allah for magical gurmaad from heaven and Xamar because otherwise they will be dead.

 

[Jaale Ugaas]

Janan calls for more defections promising promotions and pay raises.

 

[Hilmaam]

Nobody has exact numbers but Madobe loyalists outnumber FGS aligned millitas by far. They have support from local police and Daarawish aswell as Col Cabaas gurmaad from Ceelwaaq and Ina Lafey gurmaad from Dolow.

They occupy the airport, xarunta mamulka degmada, customs, university, Balad Amin, and the main roundabout as well as buurta celi dhere.

Backup from FGS was supposed to come today but to no avail. At the most janans men have only 48 hours left before they start starving. Planes from Xamar to Garbaharey and then 90 Kms ish distance to Beledhawo throught AS territory.

It's be ironic if somehow they make it throught unscahed even thought they were complaing about JL forces moving throught AS territory safely during Ras Kamboni fiasco.

the other bad thing is endf is against current hsm led regime. if madobe fails and fgs wins, then they will have to contend with ethiopian troops next. seems like long shot but never know seems no matter odds HSM ready to roll dice. he going all in on parralel jubbland admin

 

[Jaale Ugaas]

the other bad thing is endf is against current hsm led regime. if madobe fails and fgs wins, then they will have to contend with ethiopian troops next. seems like long shot but never know seems no matter odds HSM ready to roll dice. he going all in on parralel jubbland admin

Yh some men from janan's subclan wanted to help him but Ina lafey and itoobiyans have closed the road to Beledhawo.

 

[Abdisamad]

I'm guessing he knows something we don't. Helicopters are grounded as seekawe and zuugs were brought from Dolow so they will be shot down if they try to leave.

I know they're praying salad Isha asking Allah for magical gurmaad from heaven and Xamar because otherwise they will be dead.

Damn, the FGS keep making one bad strategy after another, all this rafaad so Qoslaye can finally hold a bogus non inclusive election.. Talk about low iq decisions

 

[Man with a garuun]

I think Jubbaland is cooking something here. They will launch an offensive very soon after all reinforcements arrive. Another Raaskambooni debacle is heading towards Hassan Dal Gumeeye aka Hassan Gurguurte's direction.