Oh just switch to a better monocle with a shade clearer, and it'll become more the obvious, you have shown you could do it, just try it.
Khatumo has run its course. I'm pretty sure Somaliland isn't even going to attack the region.
The regime there will use threat of invasion to perpetuate itself in an attempt to escape justice. When it really starts to fall apart expect the opportunist rats to flee instead of going down with the ship. It was never honest to begin with, that's why the rest is predictable.
In less than a year the Garaads and the chubby leader dude will no longer be in the region.