Prof Jawaari "5-ta Bisha October waxaan tagaynaa Baydhabo, iyada oo la hirgalinayo heshiiskii Doorasho"

[mohamedismail]

 

[mohamedismail]

Guul laftagareen. These mucaarad guys don't have nothing on Laftagareen.

 

[GaradShabeel]

Will LG allow a united opposition to hold meeting and election preparations in Baydhabo?

 

[mohamedismail]

Will LG allow a united opposition to hold meeting and election preparations in Baydhabo?

Doubt it bro. Don't think laftagareen is even gonna let them come Baydhabo.

On top of that they won't be able to come by road. So they will most likely keep complaining from Xamar.

 

[GaradShabeel]

Doubt it bro. Don't think laftagareen is even gonna let them come Baydhabo.

On top of that they won't be able to come by road. So they will most likely keep complaining from Xamar.

Agreed. I think their plan B will be to find a way to get direct support from HSM or at least back them against LG. Which will also fail if HSM intends to engage in military operations in KG, lol.

Their best attempt is to find a mutual agreement with LG about elections plans, even though they don't trust him.

 

[mohamedismail]

Agreed. I think their plan B will be to find a way to get direct support from HSM or at least back them against LG. Which will also fail if HSM intends to engage in AS operations in KG, lol.

Their best attempt is to find a mutual agreement with LG about elections plans, even though they don't trust him.

Facts that's their only hope.

The only way elections will happen in Baydhabo is if the Mucaarad some how enter Baydhabo. Whether that's by HSM helps them or otherwise.

But laftagareen may do a Ahmed Madoobe and do igu shubo. And do a sham election and get re elected.

But the reality is if Axmed Madoobe can stay for 15 years then why cant laftagareen do the same. Now Ahmed Madoobe may even be re elected for another term Laftagareen.will do the same . Ahmed Madoobe is not any better thejaftagareen.

Forget the Mucaarad HSM can't make any moves on Laftagareen while Axmed Madoobe is still in power. It's hypocritical and he will seem like he's targeting Reewin.

 

[GaradShabeel]

Facts that's their only hope.

The only way elections will happen in Baydhabo is if the Mucaarad some how enter Baydhabo. Whether that's by HSM helps them or otherwise.

But laftagareen may do a Ahmed Madoobe and do igu shubo. And do a sham election and get re elected.

But the reality is if Axmed Madoobe can stay for 15 years then why cant laftagareen do the same. Now Ahmed Madoobe may even be re elected for another term Laftagareen.will do the same . Ahmed Madoobe is not any better thejaftagareen.

Forget the Mucaarad HSM can't make any moves on Laftagareen while Axmed Madoobe is still in power. It's hypocritical and he will seem like he's targeting Reewin.

The difference is that Axmed Madoobe has been able to outmaneuver through his oppositions for years, and by himself and his connections. To the point that, not only are they neutralized (for now), but also his allies today.

If LaftaGareen can do the same, while maintaining power, then what can HSM do about it? (Although it’s in HSM’s interest for Madoobe to remain as the head of JL and the reason he has avoided criticizing him unlike with Biixi, Deni, LG).

The issue with LG is that one of his region, L/S, has a significant presence of factions who doesn’t necessary support him, with direct ties to the gov’t and could possibly throw their support behind the opposition. What can LG do about it in such case? Very little and it poses a serious threat to his rule.