Samuel Doe experience is too over the top, actually that is virtually impossible. Plain moryanimo caught in 4K. Look at the damn video, its on Youtube. He even had his ear chopped off and used as a wine glass.
The most likely thing that could occur is the exile of Farmajo if everything goes down south, on par with the Ukraine and Yanukovych move. If he is able to beat this and win, then he is truly is a tactician. Abiy cannot lead nobody, especially when his own playground is a mess. The masterminded behind everything in Ethiopia and to a degree in Somalia, is Isaias. After all, he is cut from the same cloth as Zenewi.
Let me tell.you one thing Hawiye will not be as generous to Mx as Ogaden is.
The war has started and its evolving into a qabil war.
The more the casualties the more anger it will draw from the Hawiye masses.
Farmajo govt is broke as Beyle said and Qatar is not willing ho engage in bad public relations disaster.
Afaworki is bogged down in Tigray more than 40k Eritreans fighting in Tigray and Amhara uprising.So I dont think Adaworki has capacity to send soilders to Xamar when his priority is to disintegrate Ethiopia or make Abye hold on to power which seems to be leaving his graps.
My best take is for Farmajo to resign and leave without being impeached in ICC for war crimes.
So does Farmajo have to soil his name just to add 4 more years or two years extension?
I dont think so.Secondly he needs to sack Farax Macalim he is a horrible advisor who has complicated things for him.