Speedrunning to dystopia?

GemState

36/21
VIP
Speaking as someone who was hoping that advanced biotech could provide an escape route from the looming disasters and potentially provide 'uplift' strategies, I'm having something of a crisis of faith in the technocratic institutions that I would previously have regarded as rock-solid.

Private-sector biotechnology, for instance. It recently emerged that billions of dollars worth of research into alzheimer's treatments have turned out to be based on an obviously fraudulent paper. This is a research domain where everyone concerned should, in principle, have had every opportunity and incentive to be critical in their evaluation of the evidence, and yet... they coasted on for years based on a falsehood that even a modicum of peer review could have dispelled.

Another redpill on biotech came when I found pharma spends more on marketing than R&D. They're not the future.
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GemState

36/21
VIP
I also doubt AI makes the progress people think in near future. Most likely outcome is that as China ages, we simply don’t replace it as source of global growth (South East Asia too small, Latin America too old, Africa too dysfunctional) and the world ends up incurring massive opportunity costs as technological stagnation is brought on
 

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