South West State politicians have a conference lead by Roobow. Tell Laftagareen there will be no extension

bidenkulaha

GalYare
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Anti HAG establishment from our brotherly state SWS will not be tolerated .
Good to see minister ilyas hassan taking time off from his duties as a interior minister to attend this important get toghther .
@Enlightenednomad you still think lafta will survive another winter ?:mjpls:
 

TekNiKo

Loyal To The One True Caliph (Hafidahullah)
Wake me up when he lands in Baidoa naagaha Hiiraab wax haku taraan

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Thegoodshepherd

Galkacyo iyo Calula dhexdood
VIP
By freeing & then electing Mukhtar the terrorist president of Koonfur Galbeed, Hawiye and Rahanweyn are demonstrating to Amisom, the EU, US & UK that they are not serious about facing the problem of Alshabab head on.

Mukhtar Robow is not an opportunist who joined Alshabab out of clan loyalty or for monetary gain. He is an ideologue, someone who joined Alshabab because he had adopted the terroristic ideology of Al Qaeda and the Taliban in the 1990s. Robow was Alshabab's #2 because he is through and through a believer in Bin Laden's takfiri ideology.

When Somalia succumbs to Alshabab (or its Jihadi successor) 10-15-20 years from now, the admission of Robow into the top rungs of Somalia's political system will be seen as a pivotal moment. This is a huge deal.
 

bidenkulaha

GalYare
By freeing & then electing Mukhtar the terrorist president of Koonfur Galbeed, Hawiye and Rahanweyn are demonstrating to Amisom, the EU, US & UK that they are not serious about facing the problem of Alshabab head on.

Mukhtar Robow is not an opportunist who joined Alshabab out of clan loyalty or for monetary gain. He is an ideologue, someone who joined Alshabab because he had adopted the terroristic ideology of Al Qaeda and the Taliban in the 1990s. Robow was Alshabab's #2 because he is through and through a believer in Bin Laden's takfiri ideology.

When Somalia succumbs to Alshabab (or its Jihadi successor) 10-15-20 years from now, the admission of Robow into the top rungs of Somalia's political system will be seen as a pivotal moment. This is a huge deal.

It’s true Roobow is supported by HAG/RX due to political interest but Roobow is as much a project of the international community.


Today at the conference of SWS politicians Jawari former Speaker gaves thanks to the UN envoy formerly of Somalia who was exiled by the Farmaajo regime after his protest to Roobow’s arrest and barring of running for office.

It’s rumoured the US removed their bounty on Roobow even before he left Shabaab and have long had a relationship since he’s left. The U.K. which trains many SNA troops in SWE has also supported his release.

There’s also the fact many US/U.K. allied think tanks focused on Somalia have supported Roobow.

Lastly the international community support talks with Al-Shabaab. I’d assume convincing them into government is as important as fighting them initially once they’re weakened and forced to negotiate. The FGS will become an Islamist state in turn Shabaab will join government is the idea. We’ll see if it works.
 

GuanYu

Custom title
It’s true Roobow is supported by HAG/RX due to political interest but Roobow is as much a project of the international community.


Today at the conference of SWS politicians Jawari former Speaker gaves thanks to the UN envoy formerly of Somalia who was exiled by the Farmaajo regime after his protest to Roobow’s arrest and barring of running for office.

It’s rumoured the US removed their bounty on Roobow even before he left Shabaab and have long had a relationship since he’s left. The U.K. which trains many SNA troops in SWE has also supported his release.

There’s also the fact many US/U.K. allied think tanks focused on Somalia have supported Roobow.

Lastly the international community support talks with Al-Shabaab. I’d assume convincing them into government is as important as fighting them initially once they’re weakened. The FGS will become an Islamist state in turn Shabaab will join government.

Bomboow the jaajus
 

Enlightenednomad

Investigative Journalist
Anti HAG establishment from our brotherly state SWS will not be tolerated .
Good to see minister ilyas hassan taking time off from his duties as a interior minister to attend this important get toghther .
@Enlightenednomad you still think lafta will survive another winter ?:mjpls:
Damn Laftagareen is like Thanos with all these SWS heavyweights out to get him. Iguso orod ma ahan laftagareen warya he is laandheere xariin Baydhabo is their goof.

I'm still sticking to my prediction.
 

bidenkulaha

GalYare
Damn Laftagareen is like Thanos with all these SWS heavyweights out to get him. Iguso orod ma ahan laftagareen warya he is laandheere xariin Baydhabo is their goof.

I'm still sticking to my prediction.
It would fall under a siege. FGS will not recognise any election LG controls or extension. There's plenty of options for HSM including parallel elections happen in Barawe and all salaries/aid/donations/flights in Baydhabo banned by the FGS. I would weaponise the droughts but that's why I would be a terrible President
 

Enlightenednomad

Investigative Journalist
It would fall under a siege. FGS will not recognise any election LG controls or extension. There's plenty of options for HSM including parallel elections happen in Barawe and all salaries/aid/donations/flights in Baydhabo banned by the FGS. I would weaponise the droughts but that's why I would be a terrible President
If Ethiopia properly backs Laftagareen, we will most likely see their troops stationed in Barawe to prevent such a parallel election. I didn't think of the budgetary support that the FGS provides to SWS's administration, this may prove to be a useful tool HSM unless Laftagareen can convince Ethiopia to bankroll his administration which I don't think it's willing to do with the state of the current Ethiopian economy. SWS doesn't have a functioning port which was crucial to JL to withstand Farmaajo's blockade of the region. Maybe I am overestimating Lafta but we shall see.
 

bidenkulaha

GalYare
If Ethiopia properly backs Laftagareen, we will most likely see their troops stationed in Barawe to prevent such a parallel election. I didn't think of the budgetary support that the FGS provides to SWS's administration, this may prove to be a useful tool HSM unless Laftagareen can convince Ethiopia to bankroll his administration which I don't think it's willing to do with the state of the current Ethiopian economy. SWS doesn't have a functioning port which was crucial to JL to withstand Farmaajo's blockade of the region. Maybe I am overestimating Lafta but we shall see.
Still yet to see anything more than a few troops (mostly DDS). There's clearly some move from Ethiopia to reign in HSM in case he plans to host Egyptian bases but I don't see them blocking FGS from landing in Baydhabo. That would be an international crisis and see Ethiopia sanctioned by the US/IC who will support a 'free and fair election'. Ethiopia at it's peak couldn't defeat HAG troops in LS back in the 90s and then again in 2000s. It would be an insane move to now try with SNA + Ugandan troops already stationed there.

How I would plan this to guarantee success but I doubt this is needed tbh mostly because Baydhabo is isolated financially and militarily without FGS. Would fall in minutes to Shabaab like in 2007 when Robow rolled in.

1. HSM should plan a false flag in Baydhabo where SNA troops there shoot at protesters claiming they are doing on behalf of Laftagareen.

2. Claim LG is trying to stop free and fair elections and is murdering peaceful protestors.

3. Sanction Baydhabo and say elections are too dangerous to hold there.

4. Hold it in Barawe.
 

bidenkulaha

GalYare
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UK was the strongest supporter of Roobow's candidacy in 2018 before his abduction. The UK trains SNA troops in Baydhabo with hundreds of British troops stationed there. I have strong confidence he will be the next President of KG but who knows we shall see! Somali politics can be unpredictable
 

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