Somalia UNFPA apparently carried a 'survey' with no 'methodology' provided. We want to know 'each' village area 'sq' not 'household sample' and then you working out what-ever estimations u want without any 'baseline' to estimate against.
They said this fallacious statement that Somalia is 8 million 'urban/rural' and 3 million Nomadic and 1 million IDP. Total is 12 million. U wud need to assume a GDP per capita of 12 million/7 billion of $583 per person. Which sounds fine on national average scale, but look how they fucked up with the nomadic scale. They said it's only 3 million of that 12 million population yet they account for 40% of GDP. How does 25% of the population account for 40% of the national product? showing a huge purchasing power where 1 nomad is equal 2 urban/rural people combined who wud need to combine their measly $500 per person x 2 for a Nomad.
This wud mean that the nomad has $2.8 billion/3 million ppl which is $900 per capita, yet the urban/rural has $500 per capita. Are Nomads 'twice' as rich urban/rural people, if that was the case u wud see their purchasing power being different to the urban/rural people and they should be able to buy two properties for 1 property of urban/rural at that rate or purchase twice the products/goods of an 'urban/rural'. Do you see nomads owning twice the materials of other Somalis? of course not, because this estimation is something out of someone ass not based on GDP at all.
Cuz u wud need to assume a nomadic family has $900 per person x 6 household has $5400 per year while urban/rural family of 6 has a $3k per 6 household.
This is highly unlikely and they under-estimated the nomadic population by a long shot and it was intentional in my opinion since the 'south/isaaq land' lack nomads.
The true nomadic ratio to population should be in line with the GDP and that's 40% of GDP being tied to 40% of the population which should mean 4.8 million is nomadic in the nation giving them 40% of the total 12 million. While urban/rural is 60%.
Now lets look at hargeisa/mogadishu fictious 1.2 million and 1.6 million. That would mean there is a 2.8 million market that apparently exists there which has to equate to $500 per person national average giving them 1.4 billion 'market.
While the rest of the nation is apparently 4.4 million population market and they happen to share $1.4 billion in products/goods? giving per capita of $300 for them yet miraclously, there is $500 per person in mogadishu/hargeisa? This would need to be 'proved' that a household in mogadishu/hargeisa has more products/goods daily/monthly/yearly in comparison to other urban/rural areas which I strongly doubt. I doubt a hargeisa/mogadishu person has more food/water/electricity/clothes/electronics then any other market place in Somalia, they may have 'larger' population but not a larger purchasing power then other places.
Now let's do the maths probably for $2.8 billion dollars 'divide' that by urban/rural pool of 8 million. That is a GDP per capita of $350 per person a year nation wide in that 8 million rural/urban pool. For a household of 6 u the yearly expense their yearly budget wud be around $2100.
Electricity is $50 a month x 12 = 600. Food is probably = $1200 yearly at $100 a month, water = $600 a year assuming $50 a month. That's $2400-$2500 just for utilities and that's assuming they own their home and not renting either. So they over-estimated the population of hargeisa/hamar by a fair bit as u need at least $400 per person a year to survive in that city with just basic costs and it's far 'less' in the rural areas who achieve the same standard of living with less money showing a 'stronger' purchasing power cuz it's not 'inflated' to the extent of mogadishu-hargeisa. I heard even a 'cup of coffee' is like 5 bucks in some places of Mogadishu, you could get the same coffee 5 times over outside mogadishu meaning more 'possessions n products' for rural areas over urban areas and hence 'richer' population
The mismatch if u don't see it clearly yet is there is only $2.8 billion consumption in that 60% population of urban/rural, and mogadishu/hargeisa claimed $2.8 million population which is a 35% share of the urban/rural GDP. It's not possible since if the rural/urban gdp is split 8 million population qof walbo waxaa ku 'aadan' $350 and I don't see purchasing power difference in hamar/hargeisa wat I do see however is inflation meaning they get 'less' for their money where-as that $350 in the other cities gets more products/goods and the only reason is 'inflation' is out of control in mogadishu and it's overpriced due to population demand not 'wealth' demand.
The average hargeisan/mogadishu person waxba ma dhaamo wiilka magaaloyinka kale joggo in terms of his yearly expenses so I don't see justification to increase their purchasing power ratio whatsoever. If we looked at pure purchasing power ratio of $350 per person in hargeisa/mogadishu u wud assume $980 million market this wud be good to believe but we know the average cost of living per person cannot be lower then $450 in those cities a year and your pockets are not richer then other urban/rural areas to justify an 'extra' $100 be slipped into your pocket when it's simply not there at all.
So u need to deduct 450/350, there is $100 short-fall in every single person in their population estimate and we know for one person u need $450 to live there where-as $350 is probably enuff for 2 people expenses in the other cities showing either stronger purchasing power or higher population and I swing to higher population as purchasing power isn't different in 80% of the nations ppl only population is different.
So for every 4.5 people in hargeisa/mogadishu assume a 'ghost' has been added kkkkkk since there is $100 dollars missing in those 4.5 people which means 'ghost' total exists. Cuz each person needs $450 yet we know they only have $350 per person, that's percentage of 23% missing in each person pocket to constitute a 'person' in those cities and I doubt there is any justification to see mogadishu/hargeisan has 25% missing in their 'pocket' in comparison to other urban/rural areas who can live just fine on their $350 yet you can't cuz your towns need $450 bare minimum per person. So it's either the Puntite argument that Hargeisa-mogadishu are poorer and in poverty or mogadishu/hargeisa must accept that no-one is poorer per person and that the population estimate was not in line with GDP realities.
This means for 4.5 people there is 1 ghost in their population since each person is 25% short of their living costs of $450 with the national gdp average being $350. Either they accept their poorer by 25% to the rest of the nation or re-adjust population estimates. $100 short-fall since you only have $350 per person yet your living cost is $450 per person that is 25% missing in each person pocket over 4 people = 1 person.
That means u need to deduct 25% from your estimated population of 2.8 million which is 750,000 people and bring it back down to 2.1 million living in hargeisa/mogadishu in-line with GDP per capita of $350 which means your avg person only has 77% of the bare minimum living costs of hargeisa/hamar, hence that has to be reduced by 23% of the 40% urban/rural GDP products as they simply can't even afford it due to lower purchasing power or the more realistic route is to lessen the population by 23% and bring it down to 2.1 million people while products/goods are increased by 23% to ensure the same standard of living for all somalis urban/rural.
Either way that missing 25% in each person pocket needs to come out of either the GDP total or the population estimates as both are unworkable.
Average cost of living in mogadishu/hargeisa is $450 per head per year. GDP per capita is $350 per head nation wide. There is 23% short-fall in mogadishu/hargeisa income and cost of living this should indicate 23% lesser GDP as no business man is going to send 23% more products for market that is $100 short across 2.8 million population rate which is 220 million dollars products/goods are apprently flying around in mogadishu as the income per person ratio is $350 x 2.8 million = 980 million dollars maximum a year products/goods can enter that market. Where is at the real GDP is $1.2 billion for Mog/Hargeisa at population ratio of 2.8 million and per capita of $450 per person yet the national GDP capita is $350, so there is 23% poverty in each person missing $100 dollars a year across 2.8 million people or 23% population estimate out of whack

They said this fallacious statement that Somalia is 8 million 'urban/rural' and 3 million Nomadic and 1 million IDP. Total is 12 million. U wud need to assume a GDP per capita of 12 million/7 billion of $583 per person. Which sounds fine on national average scale, but look how they fucked up with the nomadic scale. They said it's only 3 million of that 12 million population yet they account for 40% of GDP. How does 25% of the population account for 40% of the national product? showing a huge purchasing power where 1 nomad is equal 2 urban/rural people combined who wud need to combine their measly $500 per person x 2 for a Nomad.
This wud mean that the nomad has $2.8 billion/3 million ppl which is $900 per capita, yet the urban/rural has $500 per capita. Are Nomads 'twice' as rich urban/rural people, if that was the case u wud see their purchasing power being different to the urban/rural people and they should be able to buy two properties for 1 property of urban/rural at that rate or purchase twice the products/goods of an 'urban/rural'. Do you see nomads owning twice the materials of other Somalis? of course not, because this estimation is something out of someone ass not based on GDP at all.
Cuz u wud need to assume a nomadic family has $900 per person x 6 household has $5400 per year while urban/rural family of 6 has a $3k per 6 household.
This is highly unlikely and they under-estimated the nomadic population by a long shot and it was intentional in my opinion since the 'south/isaaq land' lack nomads.
The true nomadic ratio to population should be in line with the GDP and that's 40% of GDP being tied to 40% of the population which should mean 4.8 million is nomadic in the nation giving them 40% of the total 12 million. While urban/rural is 60%.
Now lets look at hargeisa/mogadishu fictious 1.2 million and 1.6 million. That would mean there is a 2.8 million market that apparently exists there which has to equate to $500 per person national average giving them 1.4 billion 'market.
While the rest of the nation is apparently 4.4 million population market and they happen to share $1.4 billion in products/goods? giving per capita of $300 for them yet miraclously, there is $500 per person in mogadishu/hargeisa? This would need to be 'proved' that a household in mogadishu/hargeisa has more products/goods daily/monthly/yearly in comparison to other urban/rural areas which I strongly doubt. I doubt a hargeisa/mogadishu person has more food/water/electricity/clothes/electronics then any other market place in Somalia, they may have 'larger' population but not a larger purchasing power then other places.
Now let's do the maths probably for $2.8 billion dollars 'divide' that by urban/rural pool of 8 million. That is a GDP per capita of $350 per person a year nation wide in that 8 million rural/urban pool. For a household of 6 u the yearly expense their yearly budget wud be around $2100.
Electricity is $50 a month x 12 = 600. Food is probably = $1200 yearly at $100 a month, water = $600 a year assuming $50 a month. That's $2400-$2500 just for utilities and that's assuming they own their home and not renting either. So they over-estimated the population of hargeisa/hamar by a fair bit as u need at least $400 per person a year to survive in that city with just basic costs and it's far 'less' in the rural areas who achieve the same standard of living with less money showing a 'stronger' purchasing power cuz it's not 'inflated' to the extent of mogadishu-hargeisa. I heard even a 'cup of coffee' is like 5 bucks in some places of Mogadishu, you could get the same coffee 5 times over outside mogadishu meaning more 'possessions n products' for rural areas over urban areas and hence 'richer' population

The mismatch if u don't see it clearly yet is there is only $2.8 billion consumption in that 60% population of urban/rural, and mogadishu/hargeisa claimed $2.8 million population which is a 35% share of the urban/rural GDP. It's not possible since if the rural/urban gdp is split 8 million population qof walbo waxaa ku 'aadan' $350 and I don't see purchasing power difference in hamar/hargeisa wat I do see however is inflation meaning they get 'less' for their money where-as that $350 in the other cities gets more products/goods and the only reason is 'inflation' is out of control in mogadishu and it's overpriced due to population demand not 'wealth' demand.
The average hargeisan/mogadishu person waxba ma dhaamo wiilka magaaloyinka kale joggo in terms of his yearly expenses so I don't see justification to increase their purchasing power ratio whatsoever. If we looked at pure purchasing power ratio of $350 per person in hargeisa/mogadishu u wud assume $980 million market this wud be good to believe but we know the average cost of living per person cannot be lower then $450 in those cities a year and your pockets are not richer then other urban/rural areas to justify an 'extra' $100 be slipped into your pocket when it's simply not there at all.
So u need to deduct 450/350, there is $100 short-fall in every single person in their population estimate and we know for one person u need $450 to live there where-as $350 is probably enuff for 2 people expenses in the other cities showing either stronger purchasing power or higher population and I swing to higher population as purchasing power isn't different in 80% of the nations ppl only population is different.
So for every 4.5 people in hargeisa/mogadishu assume a 'ghost' has been added kkkkkk since there is $100 dollars missing in those 4.5 people which means 'ghost' total exists. Cuz each person needs $450 yet we know they only have $350 per person, that's percentage of 23% missing in each person pocket to constitute a 'person' in those cities and I doubt there is any justification to see mogadishu/hargeisan has 25% missing in their 'pocket' in comparison to other urban/rural areas who can live just fine on their $350 yet you can't cuz your towns need $450 bare minimum per person. So it's either the Puntite argument that Hargeisa-mogadishu are poorer and in poverty or mogadishu/hargeisa must accept that no-one is poorer per person and that the population estimate was not in line with GDP realities.
This means for 4.5 people there is 1 ghost in their population since each person is 25% short of their living costs of $450 with the national gdp average being $350. Either they accept their poorer by 25% to the rest of the nation or re-adjust population estimates. $100 short-fall since you only have $350 per person yet your living cost is $450 per person that is 25% missing in each person pocket over 4 people = 1 person.
That means u need to deduct 25% from your estimated population of 2.8 million which is 750,000 people and bring it back down to 2.1 million living in hargeisa/mogadishu in-line with GDP per capita of $350 which means your avg person only has 77% of the bare minimum living costs of hargeisa/hamar, hence that has to be reduced by 23% of the 40% urban/rural GDP products as they simply can't even afford it due to lower purchasing power or the more realistic route is to lessen the population by 23% and bring it down to 2.1 million people while products/goods are increased by 23% to ensure the same standard of living for all somalis urban/rural.
Either way that missing 25% in each person pocket needs to come out of either the GDP total or the population estimates as both are unworkable.
Average cost of living in mogadishu/hargeisa is $450 per head per year. GDP per capita is $350 per head nation wide. There is 23% short-fall in mogadishu/hargeisa income and cost of living this should indicate 23% lesser GDP as no business man is going to send 23% more products for market that is $100 short across 2.8 million population rate which is 220 million dollars products/goods are apprently flying around in mogadishu as the income per person ratio is $350 x 2.8 million = 980 million dollars maximum a year products/goods can enter that market. Where is at the real GDP is $1.2 billion for Mog/Hargeisa at population ratio of 2.8 million and per capita of $450 per person yet the national GDP capita is $350, so there is 23% poverty in each person missing $100 dollars a year across 2.8 million people or 23% population estimate out of whack