Somalia Economics Settled. Proveable

[DR OSMAN]

@Abdalla @Farjano-Walad @Gadhwayne @SirLancelLord @Lordilord @Mckenzie @Galmudug-State @Calaf @Dues Ex Machete @TheReal_SMM @TimaJilic

I am calling out all the heavy-weights in every Somali clans so do not think I making this a 'majerten show', it's a Somali show as I present my Somali findings.

Somalia economics is purely settled, If we assume $7 billion GDP per year nation wide and I think as Somalis we will. It doesn't matter anyways what over-all the GDP is, as the 'share' of it is going to remain quite 'consistent' so do not think by changing the over-all GDP will effect the 'share' by Region, cause it won't. So let's settle on a $7 billion GDP and work out the industries involved.

That 7 billion is split like this according to industry

1. Agriculture. 60%
2. Services. 30%
3. Industry 10%

This is rough estimate round of no matter what GDP sector by sector you look at. Now let's split the sectors into industries

1. Agriculture is split 40% livestock 20% fishery, charcoal, farming, fishing
2. Service is split by import/export so this is the small-time traders
3. Industry is mainly taken by Comms-Water-Electricity-Money Transfer unless you know of any other industry in Somalia worth mentioning

Population market is 15 million rough estimate. PL controls 9 million of that market thru GM/HS/PL/JL/Eastern SL. JL serves 2 million in Gedo/Jubba area. SL controls Hargeisa servicing and DDSI export.

So let's reserve 60% away for agriculture which is 4.2 million and then reserve a further away which is 1.6 billion while $840 million is fishery-farming-charcoal. How will this will be split is purely market philosophy based on everyone 'market share' by consumption rate. Since puntland owns 9 million market-share here thru pl/gm/eastern sl/makhir/khatumo/hs/gm it's reasonable to allocate 60% of 1.6 billion which is close to a 'billion' just in PL market and economic dependencies.

Then let's break up the 840 million which let's assume 2% of the GDP is fishery that is $150 million right there, so within the agriculture space assign another $150 million into PL is the largest fishery industry, this isn't with a doubt mind you. It's a well established historical industry.

Charcoal is estimated at around $300 million s throw that shit into our JL corridor share from that $840 million. So the remainder is $400 million which is the farming game for servicing the local somalia market, PL share is very 'small' so I won't calculate it at all. See 'cadalad' baan aqana. This will go str8 to the HS boys mainly with JL boys coming close second, because HS taps into large market share in the north without much competition locally.

So now we have the figures for Agriculture split into respectable chunks. PL has 1.6 billion in livestock exports for it's market share of 9 million which correlates to 60% of the livestock market. We have a reasonable share in the remaining $840 million non livestock agriculture with out fishery industry worth at least $150 million and that low estimates and our charcoal game worth $300 million in JL. So we own 50% of non livestock agriculture sector, while the rest is 'farming' which is dominated by JL/HS servicing a large market share. So that's a total of $1.6 billion plus $150 million in PL economic sphere that is $1.7 billion plus add Kismayo charcoal trade of $300 million and seals up our agriculture output to $2 billion just for Majerten hands.

Now Services will get interesting too since this is the import/export game that provide products/goods into the market. It's 30% of the GDP. PL again takes 60% of this shit since it's market profile is 9 million market span. This sector is worth 30% of 7 billion, we playing within a scope of $2.1 billion in service industry. Assign to PL it's 9 million market share that is total of 1.2 billion going thru bosaso port each year and 'transhipped' at Galkacyo to market span of 9 million people.

The remainder is $840 million and my JL profile is 2 million market span so put away JL share here which is 15% of somalia consumer market. So 15% of 840 million is assigned to JL, that's another lofty $126 million in the hands of JL. What is left is for Hargeisa and Mogadishu with Mogadishu market being 1.5-1.8 million people and Hargeisa 800k, it's up to these niggas how they split the remainder though, as me a PL economist, I know care for PL and JL as you naturally would assume. I only work out the calculations deeply if PL hands are involved once my hands are not there, I throw their share at them and wixi hilibka ka soo haray idinku qaybsada.

So the last game is smaller game which is Industry but it made the 'stats' owning 10% of Somalia over-all GDP. The only real industry that exists in Somalia is Comms-Money transfer-Water-Electricity. So this nonsense HAG is rich is impossible since this is only 10% industry of Somalia and worth $700 million a year and that even 'hal qof malaha' waa loo wada fadhiya with Majerten having a far 'larger' slice again as demonstrated.

Money transfer has Dahabshil-Amal splitting it. Dahabshil being larger will get 40% share and Amal 30% and the other transfer companies making up the rest with Majerten and Leelkase involved in Iftin-Tawakal, so u can assume if you combine all the transfer companies, the final ouput is larger then Dahabshil market share of 40% and 60% PL dominated.

Electricity Game. The biggest market is Mogadishu hands down due to it's concentrated population. Blue sky electricity is second largest provider so Majerten want's it's final yearly earning shares in Mogadishu electricity sector this also includes HAGS and is competitive as we fight for this 'cities' electricity market

Water Game - PL has no hand in this industry as of yet in Mogadishu and is purely HAG industry

Comms Market - PL has no hand in mogadishu/south central market share but is dominating in PL market share of 5 million in between PL/Makhir/Khatumo even though there is competition with 'somtel' it has a very 'small' market share that isn't even computable yet.

So even that $700 million industry sector is down to a tight race boy. But I will slide mogadishu it's percentage 2 million market share in water game and 2 million market share in money transfer game. These two games requires sharing with Majerten, i will step away in the comms game for hormud and it's water game in his 2 million market. I am fair I know my 'reach' niyahow and that is down to electricity-money transfer sectors as I want my 'majerten slice' when we determine what each of those industries are worth.

Mind you PL also has water companies-electricity companies in PL but I will take a 'lower' national share since our cities are not as 'concentrated' for water companies/electricity companies to have a large 'slice' but we will still get our 'slice' no matter on national scale. But remember this is a $700 million segment only and it's going to be 'viciously' fought over with Majerten-Hag-Isaaq. Just look at Majerten Golis and his market share of 5 million as that will put a 'nice' dent into that sector for us. Look at Amal nation wide profile and iftin-tawakal combined will give us 'majority' share in this money transfer game, even though we not the largest but when u add up the 3 different amal-iftin-tawakal together, dahabshil is in trouble, his like oh no 'puntland' suuqani yar miyad ii diidan tahay kkkk.

I will accept only slightly smaller share for water-electricity since our cities are not large and concentrated like Mogadishu. But still if u combine Kismayo-Garowe-Galkayo-Bosaso-Qardho we still have a 'nice' sector just not one on one cities is what i mean.

So there u go boys a nice break down following pure economic principles 'production vs market share'. Since there is no variation in purchasing power between each market, it comes down to purely market share by numbers and not so much market share by calculating purchasing power differences since there is none, so the race is to expand to capture as many people and PL has that 60% and JL has the remaining 15%. So 85% is all I will settle for in Somalia wealth. I am in every god damn sector niyahow, this isn't hormuud playing in very small 'market sharre' game kkkk which is still being challenged by Golis-Somtel, we are talking the whole market not just a business or even sector. The only sector I am losing is mogadishu water nothing else, everything else waan fadhiya in money transfer and electricity. Plus gaygi waa ii gaar jl/pl water/electricity.

 

[DR OSMAN]

I am like this when it comes to clan measurements

I am just totally vicious, my ancestors binu ukail and mohamed harti must be honored at all costs but within 'rationality' of course and not something I cook up myself

 

[DR OSMAN]

Why u think Isaaq always focuses on Majerten and never hawiye? as he knows the truth when it comes to GDP and total wealth output, even hag only business hormuud is in trouble as they don't have the national market whatsoever but south-central zone which is in trouble when Golis comes in and takes that 2 million market as the locals 'cheer' Majerteniya. Plus hag has no hand in the money transfer game with iftin/tawakal/amal combined share makes Isaaq shit itself with Dahabshil. Plus Isaaq knows MJ has the rest of the economy 9 million market of import/exports plus JL 2 million market. That is why u never see hag n isaaq fight niyahow and they tag team on Majerten since mj owns 85% of the market if u look at sector by sector and it's final yearly output. That's why HS/GM is broke and can't fund itself, hormuud aint funding u shit since it cant even capture the comms market nation wide kkkkk.

So when MJ is in hamar remember guys we playing in the electricity n money transfer game, only game we out of is water n telecoms, so that's why I always say even suuqooda waloo fadhiya it's being split between hag/mj/isaaq with hag having larger slice and mj having second slice for blue sky electricity penetration and amal bank and isaaq having the last slice for dahabshil only playing in tight market with amal/tawakal/iftin all puntland based. So money transfer game is 60% PL owned, electricity market is 30% puntland owned in hamar. We just need to get into that water game and pipe up all hamar homes. At the same time we keep our shit to ourselves in PL/JL in our 'pocket' cid nala duuqi karto ma jirtee way og yihin somali our attitude but 'kaagi ana leh iyo kaygi ana leh' kkkkk as that is well known puntite attitude and culture in somalia that we eating only YOURS but mine is for puntites only

 

[Gadhwayne]

@DR OSMAN I didnt get your tag notification. Are you muted or because you tag too many people then so we dont get notification

 

[DR OSMAN]

@DR OSMAN I didnt get your tag notification. Are you muted or because you tag too many people then so we dont get notification

Oh ok I am not sure why that is, maybe they put a tag limit that the @Admin hasn't 'educated' people about, education is key, just doing stuff and not being transparent is pointless which is the same thing you in Somalia which has become systemic culture as everything is total secrecy and no public transparency, to much secrecy and under the table stuff and a clue-less public leads into nothing but a population of ignorant, conspiracy theorists developing like dahir alasow to penetrate this lack of knowledge market and superstition doctors in Islam walking around making a good coin from an un-educated people all because our people do not understand transparency.

Imagine if the printing press wasn't created and knowledge exposed in the public so it's all public, it would've remained a dark age like it was prior with knowledge restricted to the church while the masses fell into conspiracies and superstitions like u see in Somalia due to lack of knowlege and lack of transparency. Always make everything public as knowledge if not public leads to your own society demise as it goes into that dark age world and nothing but emotions-religion-superstitutions will exist in that world since the brain hasn't been nurtured with it's the ingredients of knowledge.

 

[DR OSMAN]

@Gadhwayne these HAGS thinking having a business means shit like hormud who doesn't even national wide share in the comms game, it's not an industry but a mere player kkkkk, these niggas are so silly and ignore majerten hand involved at every god damn sector and industry while taking a large slice for it's market-share dominated by PL/JL.

Waxasi dhan uma jeedan but u and Isaaq do and that's probably why u guys never entertain their 'hags is rich nonsense' as you go off 'yearly revenues' and u know deep down hag is struggling just to dominate one sector as it's still in the 'business game' and hasn't reached that level of market wealth or scope. That's why HS/GM are totally broke as a business can not fund a govt, even a sector can't as u know this well, u need a GDP and multiple sectors that fund a govt thru a small taxation rate, what sort of taxation rate can be accumulated just from one business a year kkkkk or just one sector? that's why PL wants to expand it's sectors into oil/gas and tourism as new money makers and having banking sector that fuels the 'service' sector thru new businesses so the the 'traders' increase it's production.

We are also doing sector to sector re-investments thru fdi/diaspora/local partnership to boost up fishery with more players and increasing our export earnings. This what u call an economy, where-as all HAG is a business hormuud and even that doesn't have full national market share and concentrated only in south-central somalia which will be taken by GOLIS when JL brings in those dulis outside my market gedo/jubbayoinka.

That's why hormuud is considered a terrorist as they are the only ones who operate in terrorist havens and it's paramount as Somalis we demand America freeze their assets which are all stored in nairobi or dubai under pseudonames like a moryan HG does but we know those pseudonames and different women his placed his loot in as majerten is viciously a HAG HUNTER as HG knows that and prefers marehan as a partner in Somalia to keep Majerten away. Where-as Marehan love HAG as 4.5 benefits them the most and keeps them away from PL/JL vicious hand. It's a langaab match made in hell kkkkk but me and absame are dealing with both as he just smoked out HG in DDSI and GEDO is being hauled in. PL has great alliance with JL, unstoppable domination and our eyes are on the HORDES N Sade who is trying to crown himself sultan of the hordes kkkkk like keenadiid did in hobyo kkkkk while hordes are like we only want u cause PL vicious hand is too much for us.

 

[DR OSMAN]

@Gadhwayne Hormuud must be dismantled and is well known funding shabab, as long as they are there, it's to difficult to remove shabab in Somalia. Keep your eyes on HG moryans in the diaspora/locally at all time who off-shore their hormuud loot into dubai-nairobi asset and banking to generate further growth from re-investment.

HG is responsible at all times for shabab not Somalis who are by-product of it and playing within their 'project of hell' to stop Somalia becoming a strong nation again, that's why they operate HG hormuud operate just fine in 'shabab territory' so the HG-Shabab link between the two is not something that is within dispute anymore and broad as daylight.

Hormud only has share of the comms-market in the south-central so not even national wide coverage, so it' merely a business and not even industry player in a sector of the economy. So we won't lose much and require the SFG govt completely bans hormuud from the nation like barakaat was which allowed MJ/ISAAQ TO take over the transfer business as the world prefers MJ/ISAAQ over HAG investors since their all tied to fkn terrorists niyahow especially the brotherhood

Their 91 looting of MJ investments and re-investing into comms need to stop immediately and we must send a cease n desist letter to HG leaders and elders, they are holding somalia from major bank loans into our infrastructure and oil investors as they fear it will fuel hormuud growth thru supply chain effect of creating more consumer spending in hormuud telecom in south-central somalia and potentialaly lead to a bin laden in the end and a global threat to the world.

If we want Somalia to get back on it's feet, we need to start by dealing with HG and their haram or else it's futile attempt and the world will just say we are not serious that we are housing a terrorist dude in a comms sector and u want us to fuel his ass with oil investment so he can grow thru supply chain as the national economy starts to mature with more wealth? we basically stopping multi billion dollar players into our market all for what? to preserve some shitty as hormuud telecom with a market reach of 7.5 to 8 million from hs/gm/JL/Mog, while trading off oil/gas/mineral players to create a whole new sector of growth? it's just a silly trade off in my opinion and baffles me why we even tolerate them when u do the maths on benefits and gains by sacrificing his HG ass for Somalia to start new sector of oil/gas/mineral which MJ/Isaaq will be lined up as usual, like we always are in all 'various' lucrative sectors as top players. While hags just look on in disbelief nothing has changed since the 60s kkkk, they only think it has thru delusions of grandeur and mogadishu superstitions chats with dahir alasow.

 

[DR OSMAN]

@Gadhwayne it's in your interest just like mine we get rid of Hormuud, Golis and Somtel will fill the void and expand into south-central Somalia and capture the last markets of haram money from 91 mj loot and finally see HG out of their last lifeline in Somalia economy. This can then kick-start confidence in the world that somalia is clean market with no terrorist involved or sympathisers as they are the same in the world eyes. PL/SL will be lined up as the big beneficiaries as we are historically the richest clans in Somalia and the world prefers history to remain how it is and no change to the wealth order or else it could lead to nacasnimo and a global threat. Since MJ/Isaaq have well established wealth profile globally and locally, the world sees as more reliable partners to ensure we continue the dominance of somali sectors and take the market share and throw the crumbs to lowly hag shopkeepers to continue the wealth structure kkkkk.

MJ/Isaaq are sitting in Dubai niyahow there is no HAG. Ali Saleban is sitting in oman for 300 years and gained heaps thru the supply chain of the oil boom there in the 70s. East Africa is dominated by players from the 70s niyahow who also own big ass sectors and all hag has in them is 91 mj loot investors in small trading game kkkk. Noone is going to change the order globally and it's time we return Somalia back to the MJ/Isaaq order and the other clans follow the pecking order as it always with uunlaaye and jirde, it was always like this and it's not much different if you look at Hamar now also with dahabshil largest player in transfer game with MJ amal/iftin either a tie or close second. Blue sky electricity is also a second largest player in electricity of hamar.

Only thing that changed is hormuud and that's all that needs to go and the telecoms is back into halal investors who didn't earn their money thru 91 loots and resales kkkk. Haram loot won't get u anywhere in the world, it just black list your nation thru further investment, they keep u stuck in the cycle of no growth, so we shouldn't tolerate HG from an economic point of view whatsoever as its not in your interest they hold u back