Not to mention recognizing SL would open up a whole can of worms for other sessionist movements. I know for absolute certainty that the AU would never risk doing so since Africa is a volatile enough continent.The ironic aspect is that Somaliland could have become an independent country if it had played its cards differently in the last 30 years.
The first mistake was claiming non-Isaaq lands as part of Somaliland, making it as hypocritical as Somalia. This quick response to foreign queries about Somaliland's recognition hindered its standing because Somalia could simple point at unionist areas.
Secondly, Somaliland could have learned from Croatia and Slovenia during the Yugoslav wars. Simply cutting off and building walls isn't sufficient for international recognition. Yugoslavia fell apart as ethnic groups lost trust, leading to multiple declarations of new countries.
Rather than separating from Somalia, Somaliland could have engage, possibly conceding with Puntland and granting them control of SSC trying to get them to declare independence aswell. Creating a pipeline with the RRA, a more open-minded group in southern Somalia because they were fighting both SPM and USC militias, might have sparked further declarations. After that the other clans could smell what was cooking and run to declare new countries.
Somaliland could even renege on the deal with Puntland after Somalia was truely death.
However, Somaliland chose a different path, Its leaders viewing it as a cash cow while they and their children could live it up with the peasants taxes. Somaliland is a cow for the former SNM elite. Somaliland came a distance second to their third house and 7th wife.
The rest of Somalia views secession as anti-Somali behavior, attributing it to an Ethiopian tactic. This is the natural result of landers screeching and insulting other Somalis for almost three decades.
The perception is fueled by figures like Edna Aden and Faisal Waarabe insulting Somali culture. Despite thirty years of peace, living standards remain similar, with periodic famines still terrorizing the peasantry.
For the international community Somalia is great enough nowadays, the biggest cities are under government control, the government is nice and easy to deal.
Meanwhile Somaliland is running around, tying itselfs to the Abiye regime which they themselves very much dislike. Fact is the best thing HSM has done is tie us so close USA.
How is this a W when AU also calls for Ethiopia’s sovereignty & territorial integrity to be respected when they are clearly the aggressorsIt is far too late for Somaliland to secede now! With the west and Au supporting Somalis sovereignty it's practically impossible for Somaliland to leave now with Khatumo being a state and Awdal soon to be recognized as a state
You guys give Ethiopia way too much credit. A war torn, bankrupt, famine ridden nation does not have the capability you entrust in them. If Ethiopia had so much influence in the AU, they would’ve had majority AU support regarding the Egyptian fascio. They wouldn’t have issues with AU members states regarding trade (tariffs) amongst other issues.How is this a W when AU also calls for Ethiopia’s sovereignty & territorial integrity to be respected when they are clearly the aggressors![]()
You guys are really underestimating the influence Ethiopia has in the AU, I would leave that union immediately. Your own president was calaacaling on a press conference saying I was held at gunpoint by Oromos & I had to sneak in with another country’s entourage.
True but at the same time, the AU hasn't really condemned Ethiopia or the deal either, which is to be expected I guess.You guys give Ethiopia way too much credit. A war torn, bankrupt, famine ridden nation does not have the capability you entrust in them. If Ethiopia had so much influence in the AU, they would’ve had majority AU support regarding the Egyptian fascio. They wouldn’t have issues with AU members states regarding trade (tariffs) amongst other issues.
As for HSM been refused entry in the AU, the same thing happened to Vladimir Putin in South Africa (BRICS summit). Abiy has lost, the man has been diplomatically humiliated globally might I add. I guess he wants the “last laugh” no matter how silly he makes himself look. But keep bootyclapping for those who wish to see you fall, it’s not pathetic at all lol.
Of course they haven’t, why would they. Obviously Ethiopia has more leverage within the AU than Somalia has I’m not denying that. What I’m arguing is that Ethiopia does not have sovereign influence within the AU, they might have the headquarters located within their capital but their influence is lagging. Namibia has more influence within the AU then Ethiopia has, know IGAD is a different story.True but at the same time, the AU hasn't really condemned Ethiopia or the deal either, which is to be expected I guess.
If there was truly a perfect moment to break off, it was during the 90s when there was anarchy in the nation. Had officials accepted they could've done it but that time has passed and as time goes by that opportunity grows slimmer. That is why this MoU was done, Bixi felt that walls closing in on him and in a last mad attempt he sold off land to Ethiopia for "a consideration of recognition". Which mind you won't do anything since African nations recognize the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic (western sahara) but that means nothing since the UN does not. In the end I genuinely believe that international powers do not want to deal with redrawing state boarders I'm Africa.It is far too late for Somaliland to secede now! With the west and Au supporting Somalis sovereignty it's practically impossible for Somaliland to leave now with Khatumo being a state and Awdal soon to be recognized as a state
Dude stil they wont have suceededThe ironic aspect is that Somaliland could have become an independent country if it had played its cards differently in the last 30 years.
The first mistake was claiming non-Isaaq lands as part of Somaliland, making it as hypocritical as Somalia. This quick response to foreign queries about Somaliland's recognition hindered its standing because Somalia could simple point at unionist areas.
Secondly, Somaliland could have learned from Croatia and Slovenia during the Yugoslav wars. Simply cutting off and building walls isn't sufficient for international recognition. Yugoslavia fell apart as ethnic groups lost trust, leading to multiple declarations of new countries.
Rather than separating from Somalia, Somaliland could have engage, possibly conceding with Puntland and granting them control of SSC trying to get them to declare independence aswell. Creating a pipeline with the RRA, a more open-minded group in southern Somalia because they were fighting both SPM and USC militias, might have sparked further declarations. After that the other clans could smell what was cooking and run to declare new countries.
Somaliland could even renege on the deal with Puntland after Somalia was truely death.
However, Somaliland chose a different path, Its leaders viewing it as a cash cow while they and their children could live it up with the peasants taxes. Somaliland is a cow for the former SNM elite. Somaliland came a distance second to their third house and 7th wife.
The rest of Somalia views secession as anti-Somali behavior, attributing it to an Ethiopian tactic. This is the natural result of landers screeching and insulting other Somalis for almost three decades.
The perception is fueled by figures like Edna Aden and Faisal Waarabe insulting Somali culture. Despite thirty years of peace, living standards remain similar, with periodic famines still terrorizing the peasantry.
For the international community Somalia is great enough nowadays, the biggest cities are under government control, the government is nice and easy to deal.
Meanwhile Somaliland is running around, tying itselfs to the Abiye regime which they themselves very much dislike. Fact is the best thing HSM has done is tie us so close USA.
The ironic aspect is that Somaliland could have become an independent country if it had played its cards differently in the last 30 years.
The first mistake was claiming non-Isaaq lands as part of Somaliland, making it as hypocritical as Somalia. This quick response to foreign queries about Somaliland's recognition hindered its standing because Somalia could simple point at unionist areas.
Secondly, Somaliland could have learned from Croatia and Slovenia during the Yugoslav wars. Simply cutting off and building walls isn't sufficient for international recognition. Yugoslavia fell apart as ethnic groups lost trust, leading to multiple declarations of new countries.
Rather than separating from Somalia, Somaliland could have engage, possibly conceding with Puntland and granting them control of SSC trying to get them to declare independence aswell. Creating a pipeline with the RRA, a more open-minded group in southern Somalia because they were fighting both SPM and USC militias, might have sparked further declarations. After that the other clans could smell what was cooking and run to declare new countries.
Somaliland could even renege on the deal with Puntland after Somalia was truely death.
However, Somaliland chose a different path, Its leaders viewing it as a cash cow while they and their children could live it up with the peasants taxes. Somaliland is a cow for the former SNM elite. Somaliland came a distance second to their third house and 7th wife.
The rest of Somalia views secession as anti-Somali behavior, attributing it to an Ethiopian tactic. This is the natural result of landers screeching and insulting other Somalis for almost three decades.
The perception is fueled by figures like Edna Aden and Faisal Waarabe insulting Somali culture. Despite thirty years of peace, living standards remain similar, with periodic famines still terrorizing the peasantry.
For the international community Somalia is great enough nowadays, the biggest cities are under government control, the government is nice and easy to deal.
Meanwhile Somaliland is running around, tying itselfs to the Abiye regime which they themselves very much dislike. Fact is the best thing HSM has done is tie us so close USA.
For the sake of an argument couldn't SL take Somalia to court and let the ICJ make a ruling? That was what happened with Kosovo even though that proved controversial.If there was truly a perfect moment to break off, it was during the 90s when there was anarchy in the nation. Had officials accepted they could've done it but that time has passed and as time goes by that opportunity grows slimmer. That is why this MoU was done, Bixi felt that walls closing in on him and in a last mad attempt he sold off land to Ethiopia for "a consideration of recognition". Which mind you won't do anything since African nations recognize the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic (western sahara) but that means nothing since the UN does not. In the end I genuinely believe that international powers do not want to deal with redrawing state boarders I'm Africa.
For the sake of an argument couldn't SL take Somalia to court and let the ICJ make a ruling? That was what happened with Kosovo even though that proved controversial.
The Kosovo situation is one of demographic shift and a underlining east vs west situation. Even now Kosovo situation is still technically not settled and I doubt it will be.For the sake of an argument couldn't SL take Somalia to court and let the ICJ make a ruling? That was what happened with Kosovo even though that proved controversial.