Puntland has been struggling with Terrorists since the early 90s group of al-itihaad to the ICU and now Shabab. This group obviously doesn't have any intention of ruling puntland as they only allocate 5% of their soldiers into PL mountains, xitaa 'awood' uma haysto inu meel ka taliyo, they literally hide in the mountains, they are at maximum 400-500 foot soldiers iyo hogaankooda. So what is 'al shabab objective' in Puntland? wa sucal lays waydiyo before u go and fight, you need to know what the intention of the enemy is.
Shabab strategy in Puntland in my view is to serve as a logistic hub with the 'yemeni arms corridor'. Let's not forget Marka-Kismayo-Hamar wa laga kiciyay, harar-dheere is the only place left for them in the south-central coastal areas. In PL since their exists 'large city' on the coastline like Bosaso, the can slip into their 'qamiis and beards' and do their buying and selling of illegal arms, explosives with 'al-qaeda' in 'yemen'.
One of the biggest reason they allied with al-qaeda is so they can access the 'yemeni arms and explosives racket' . Now that Iran is involved in yemen, the shit just got even 'hotter' with weaponry that are 'inter regional' missiles available as the houthis have shown the capability to hit 'riyadh' from their bases. This is quite scary if shabab gets their hands on inter-regional missiles in the yemeni market thru 'iranian' backing, this could send puntland into a dangerous situation, we could have them technically hiding in calmadow while 'striking' bosaso, this will make puntland quickly 'negiotate' with shabab like we did al-itihaad(local arm) in 92 to control Bosaso economic activities.
Intaysana 'arintu' inter-regional missiles gacaantooda galin, waa 400 oo wiil oo buurahasi ku cararo with their weapons and explosives and IED, maad ka soo 'xirtan' jidadka galayo buuraha oo maad 'custom' wayn samaysatan in different areas of the 'mountain entrance', starve and siege the ones in the mountain and u stop any 'arms flow' by having custom point of entry. Why not control 'jidka' bosaso galayo and advise anyone heading into 'sanaag' inay maran 'security perimeter' of PSF forces.
Send in 'dhar cads' in the bosaso camps because that is where they will keep their mission talks on PL. Send in financial hawalos a 'dhar cad' to examine any transfers of payments in 'large' or irregular amounts to identified shababis. Find out their 'regional' collaborators who I suspect is 'ali saleban' traders who facilitate these little vermins and speak to their elders and show them the evidence waxani 'ganacsi' bay idin ka tahay lakin puntland amnigeeda ayaa ka wayn 'ganacisgina' as ali saleman and make them cut the ties to these vermin southies.
Shabab goals in my opinion is to arms smuggle to shabab in the south, their intention isn't to rule PL but to use puntland as logistic corridor thru yemeni arms route. They have cells operating in 'erigavo and burco', they have their 'idp' camp hide outs in Bosaso town markay magalada soo galan 'campkooda' bay sheeganayan especially kuwa 'reer koonfurta' foot soldier.
Then you have their 'arms' all in buurahasi markay uu bahan yihin way kala soo baxayan to do a mission on PL govt or security sector. Marka nimankani la heeshiya sida al-itihaad ama gebigooda ka tirtira puntland, u only have those two options, lakin we will live together is not a political strategy that is possible.
Shabab strategy in Puntland in my view is to serve as a logistic hub with the 'yemeni arms corridor'. Let's not forget Marka-Kismayo-Hamar wa laga kiciyay, harar-dheere is the only place left for them in the south-central coastal areas. In PL since their exists 'large city' on the coastline like Bosaso, the can slip into their 'qamiis and beards' and do their buying and selling of illegal arms, explosives with 'al-qaeda' in 'yemen'.
One of the biggest reason they allied with al-qaeda is so they can access the 'yemeni arms and explosives racket' . Now that Iran is involved in yemen, the shit just got even 'hotter' with weaponry that are 'inter regional' missiles available as the houthis have shown the capability to hit 'riyadh' from their bases. This is quite scary if shabab gets their hands on inter-regional missiles in the yemeni market thru 'iranian' backing, this could send puntland into a dangerous situation, we could have them technically hiding in calmadow while 'striking' bosaso, this will make puntland quickly 'negiotate' with shabab like we did al-itihaad(local arm) in 92 to control Bosaso economic activities.
Intaysana 'arintu' inter-regional missiles gacaantooda galin, waa 400 oo wiil oo buurahasi ku cararo with their weapons and explosives and IED, maad ka soo 'xirtan' jidadka galayo buuraha oo maad 'custom' wayn samaysatan in different areas of the 'mountain entrance', starve and siege the ones in the mountain and u stop any 'arms flow' by having custom point of entry. Why not control 'jidka' bosaso galayo and advise anyone heading into 'sanaag' inay maran 'security perimeter' of PSF forces.
Send in 'dhar cads' in the bosaso camps because that is where they will keep their mission talks on PL. Send in financial hawalos a 'dhar cad' to examine any transfers of payments in 'large' or irregular amounts to identified shababis. Find out their 'regional' collaborators who I suspect is 'ali saleban' traders who facilitate these little vermins and speak to their elders and show them the evidence waxani 'ganacsi' bay idin ka tahay lakin puntland amnigeeda ayaa ka wayn 'ganacisgina' as ali saleman and make them cut the ties to these vermin southies.
Shabab goals in my opinion is to arms smuggle to shabab in the south, their intention isn't to rule PL but to use puntland as logistic corridor thru yemeni arms route. They have cells operating in 'erigavo and burco', they have their 'idp' camp hide outs in Bosaso town markay magalada soo galan 'campkooda' bay sheeganayan especially kuwa 'reer koonfurta' foot soldier.
Then you have their 'arms' all in buurahasi markay uu bahan yihin way kala soo baxayan to do a mission on PL govt or security sector. Marka nimankani la heeshiya sida al-itihaad ama gebigooda ka tirtira puntland, u only have those two options, lakin we will live together is not a political strategy that is possible.