I want to present my view on the benefits and losses that will happen if PL unite or separate. I am being honest as I can with my ability and aragti of the future. I hope this is mentioned in the constitutional discussion PL/SSC will need to have once security is settled.
Now let's assess the benefits of a Khatumo Independent Govt.
Khatumo Political Independence
Benefits.
1. Diversification politically means our eggs are not in 1 basket like happened to Isaaq in goojacade.
2. More Federal states
3. Khatumo can keep more focused on SL secession or Irir front
4. The people identify more closer to it
5. Stronger Unity potential and less potential to divide dhulbahante
Losses
1. Potential political interference, isku dir, zero sum politics from the SFG against PL
Puntland Unity
Benefits
1. Keeping the founding Father of PL vision alive. They proved their competence in 98 and left PL and Somalia better off from what they inherited(complete absence of state)
2. Less potential for political isku dir, zero sum, or interference from the SFG
3. Power-sharing if spread out to the Harti level, allows us to grow like little trees safely not 1 big tree only plus our pool of talent is wider not narrow(1 clan)
4. Big one Somalia politically unsettled, security wise unstable on top of a socially/politically charged climate of Darod phobia in particular Harti Phobia, untill this is resolved, it's best we stay united. The phobia isn't imagined by PL. It's real, what do u think IRIR was created? FOR 'your hatred' which united Djibouti-Hargeisa-Mogadishu. External enemy unity is the weakest form of unity as witnessed in SL, Eritrea, South Sudan vs North Sudan, Somalia anti colonial unity led to creating a new enemy in ethio-kenya when colonial left, when Ethiopia unity ceased, you saw how we turned on ourselves nationally. Same is predicted for SL when 'Somali' enemy uniting them is absent.
Losses
1. We are in 1 state and potential 1 state collapse
Security wise as long as Dhulbahante or Majerten or Warsangeli and Dashishe are united inside their own clans, their always going to be 'security' pact irrespective of what political solution is decided.
Plus federally unless a isku-dir happens, both states will champion Federalism as the best system for all Somali where all are stakeholders and equal in a federal framework with a 'clan' characteristic not colonial characteristic or god forbid 'central govt' characteristic where 1 clan/city benefit in zero sum game where the regions lose out. We must all fight these zero sum solutions by Isaaq(secession) and Hawiye(centralism) and present to Somalis how evil they are and only creating models that make not all Somalis win-win(federation) but win-lose.
Now let's assess the benefits of a Khatumo Independent Govt.
Khatumo Political Independence
Benefits.
1. Diversification politically means our eggs are not in 1 basket like happened to Isaaq in goojacade.
2. More Federal states
3. Khatumo can keep more focused on SL secession or Irir front
4. The people identify more closer to it
5. Stronger Unity potential and less potential to divide dhulbahante
Losses
1. Potential political interference, isku dir, zero sum politics from the SFG against PL
Puntland Unity
Benefits
1. Keeping the founding Father of PL vision alive. They proved their competence in 98 and left PL and Somalia better off from what they inherited(complete absence of state)
2. Less potential for political isku dir, zero sum, or interference from the SFG
3. Power-sharing if spread out to the Harti level, allows us to grow like little trees safely not 1 big tree only plus our pool of talent is wider not narrow(1 clan)
4. Big one Somalia politically unsettled, security wise unstable on top of a socially/politically charged climate of Darod phobia in particular Harti Phobia, untill this is resolved, it's best we stay united. The phobia isn't imagined by PL. It's real, what do u think IRIR was created? FOR 'your hatred' which united Djibouti-Hargeisa-Mogadishu. External enemy unity is the weakest form of unity as witnessed in SL, Eritrea, South Sudan vs North Sudan, Somalia anti colonial unity led to creating a new enemy in ethio-kenya when colonial left, when Ethiopia unity ceased, you saw how we turned on ourselves nationally. Same is predicted for SL when 'Somali' enemy uniting them is absent.
Losses
1. We are in 1 state and potential 1 state collapse
Security wise as long as Dhulbahante or Majerten or Warsangeli and Dashishe are united inside their own clans, their always going to be 'security' pact irrespective of what political solution is decided.
Plus federally unless a isku-dir happens, both states will champion Federalism as the best system for all Somali where all are stakeholders and equal in a federal framework with a 'clan' characteristic not colonial characteristic or god forbid 'central govt' characteristic where 1 clan/city benefit in zero sum game where the regions lose out. We must all fight these zero sum solutions by Isaaq(secession) and Hawiye(centralism) and present to Somalis how evil they are and only creating models that make not all Somalis win-win(federation) but win-lose.
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