President Deni Will Win 2024. Analysis

[DR OSMAN]

Sidee Bulshada Daarood u aragtaa hogaaminta Deni?​

POSTED BY: IDIL NEWS STAFF JULY 7, 2023

Daarood guud ahaantiis,waxay ugu hirteen in uu yahay hogaamiye macno uleh xilligan muhiimka ah.
75% Bulshada Beesha Daarood,waxay muujinayaan dareen kusoo hirasho oo hogaamintiisa ah.

Bulshadu,waxay ka dugsanayaan khataraha ay dareemayaan…

1.Majeerteenku waxay u arkaan hogaamiye miisaan leh,han leh,Mayal adag oo ay ka muuqato astaamo uu lahaa hogaamiyihii ay isku raacsanayeen hogaamintiisu in ay sarraysay ee Cabdullaahi Yuusuf.
2.Dhulbahantuhu,waxuu u arkaa hogaamiye ay ka dugsan karaan weerarka SNM.
3.Marreexaanku,waxay u arkaan hogaamiye xilligan ka badbaadin kara Mijo xaabinta Damjadiid +Daljir ee ku wajahan Gedo.
4.Leelkase iyo Awrtable,waxay u arkaan hogaamiye adag oo la loolami kara soo laabashada aragtidii USC/SNA ee Daarood nacaybka.
5.Ogaadeen,waxuu u arkaa hogaamiye xilli adkaa si adag ugarab istaagay welina cid booskiisa buuxisa aysan jirin oo Xamse iyo Axmed aysan uga filnayn khataraha ku gadaaman.

Deni waa Siyaasi nasiib ku leh Siyaasada oo fursaduhu Albaabka usoo garaacaan..

1.Siyaasiyan,isagoo liicay,waxaa uhiilliyay hab dhaqanka Xasan la yimid.
2.Siyaasadii gudaha PL,isagoo ay God uga jirto,waxaa Qarxay dagaalka Sool.
3.Hogaamintiisa,iyadoo ay Dhulka taal,ayuu ku mintiday dhaqaajinta Dimuqraadiyada.
4.Ka xarig furashadiisii Aaran-shaydaan,waxay unoqotay fursad weyn oo uu ku helay taageerada Bulshada.
Isku soo wada duuboo Deni caqabado waa weyn,ayuu ka gudbay kuwana weli waa uharsan yihiin.

Jibril Qoobey

 

[DR OSMAN]

To many opportunities have presented itself for President Deni and he took advantage of it. His leadership is seen as more 'lateral' based unlike other leaders who tend to be 'logical' based. Lateralism means Diversity, he takes the benefits of all 'leadership' and creates a super-charged 'leadership', while leaving behind the 'negatives'.

That's why he is seen as having the positive traits of Abdillahi Yusuf, But he also has the best development record, plus he has ushered in new ages such as 'democracy'. The only thing the opposition can do is seek help from Mogadishu which will give him more 'support' locally when they see an outside 'hand'.

That's why PL always stays out of SL election, 'iyaga' is cunayo and therefore if they see a PL hand, it will unite them. SFG is done, opposition is done in PL. Aaran Jaan just tanasul is your best option so you don't ruin your 2029 chances, don't take a path where your whole political legitimacy is buried over a 'one election'.

I hope the SFG keeps helping them, I've always wanted these 'trojans' to lose political legitimacy and get buried like 'alitihaad' was when the Hawiye hand was 'exposed'.

 

[DR OSMAN]

Aaran Jaan is so unpopular in PL, u wud think they wud review their 'politics' rather then sit there Permanately and wait for random leaders to exploit this hatred and sideline them and get themselves into power. This will continue to happen to them in the foreseeable future.

 

[bidenkulaha]

You are not defeating Ciise in their backyard, 2024 is their right. The more you try to deny them this, the more horgal they become just to get the seat. Desperate times, desperate measures will be their motto

 

[DR OSMAN]

You are not defeating Ciise in their backyard, 2024 is their right. The more you try to deny them this, the more horgal they become just to get the seat. Desperate times, desperate measures will be their motto

The more Aaran and you are seen together, the election is over. It's you being involved that gave Deni his win. Where-ever your hand is, we know by default it leads to chaos, ileen kibrad kale ma gabtan

 

[DR OSMAN]

@bidenkulaha I am trying to get u to win 4 a change, u should've backed Deni as daljir/damjadid and the opposite would've happened by default ma garatay, you dont know politics. You sure as hell no coach or architect, but a 'captain' is all u will ever be

 

[bidenkulaha]

@bidenkulaha I am trying to get u to win 4 a change, u should've backed Deni as daljir/damjadid and the opposite would've happened by default ma garatay, you dont know politics. You sure as hell no coach or architect, but a 'captain' is all u will ever be

what if I told u I don’t care who wins? I am a neutral observer. PL is mucaarad to fgs all the time, focus should be on the South from this government and ignoring y’all. Deni makes that easy

 

[DR OSMAN]

what if I told u I don’t care who wins? I am a neutral observer. PL is mucaarad to fgs all the time, focus should be on the South from this government and ignoring y’all. Deni makes that easy

Your correct there, their will be no grand shift in political direction and goals of PL, which was set in 98. The best u can get is empty promises from those u back who will use the SFG money and when in power either hold the same policies as the ex president or been even more 'militant' against the SFG.

 

[DR OSMAN]

@bidenkulaha Even my 99 year treaty solution to the political stalemate is a 'cooling' off model not a change to the 98 policies as it has many benefits and less risks. It doesn't violate the federal principle, but it allows PL to only conduct federal reviews every 25 year intervals, measuring the following;

1. SFG has completed the federal project following the PL Model
2. SFG has local(not continous disagreements locally) and global confidence(not in shipping containers in xalane)
3. Rule of law, Institutions, State organs that are world class
4. Socio economic development and security

Risks Mitigated

1. We don't sit there idly waiting for Mogadishu or cutting 'ties' which reminds me of 91-97 posture

2. Unionists whether locally or nationally are told we will unite when it's safe to do so and will conduct 25 year reviews. We don't need a destructive union which the current model has led to.

3. Secessionist are told this an interim independence solution so we 'test n try' first not do what south sudan did and regret it, extreme solutions lead to extreme results. If PL fails, we can fall back on our federal union treaty.

4. International community told the model will follow in china/hong kong spirit. If PL succeeds we can be better 'example' for Somalia, if Somalia fails, The International community has 99 years worth of evidence to welcome or reject PL as a sovereign state and assess whether it will be a positive force in the region and world not thru 'guesses'. I.C needs to learn how to 'wedge' it's bet a bit better foreign policy wise.

This isn't illegal also, it clearly stipulates in SFG and PL constitution that PL is independent from Somalia untill such time the constitution is complete. By applying this 99 year treaty model, It makes it clear to the world and somalis what PL status is.

 

[DR OSMAN]

I can't wait till we zone out an area called the 'embassy' neighborhood in Garowe. This will be an example to Mogadishu who will get jealous and copy, not 'lead' it, they need PL the coach/architects always to do something first.

Watch how puntites will explode to insult Mogadishu that foreigners live in shipping containers in your city, while they live just fine in Garowe. PL needs not only do this, but it has to lead in everything in Somalia so it can be an 'example' to follow it's model.

 

[Hassan Garguute Buldanana]

It's Deni vs the shameless shisheeye kalkaal reer futoole hooley horgals. The choice is simple.