Over the last year or so, MuslimSkeptic readers would have seen what could be described as a demographic analysis of trends in religiosity throughout the Muslim Ummah, having covered the Arab world (see, for example, here, here, here and here)—including even the Arab youth—; the youth of the Nusantara, i.e., Indonesia and Malaysia; and at least one Central Asian country, Kazakhstan. (Though the Islamic revival in Central Asia deserves an entire dedicated article of its own.)
We are now also able to analyze the trends in Türkiye as well, thanks to a report released a few days ago: “Faith and Religiosity in Türkiye” (the PDF file is available via the link).
It has been released by the “Population and Social Policies Application and Research Center” of Marmara University (in Istanbul) and was compiled by the vice-director of the center, Dr. Zübeyir Nişancı.
All of the other academics that are involved in the research project are also Turkish and are affiliated with the Ibn Haldun University (also based in Istanbul) and the International Institute of Islamic Thought.
The actual report consists of 216 pages, but, in sha’ Allah, we’ll be focusing on some specific findings within the report which are of a greater interest to us.
Before we begin, however, it must be noted that the opening chapter is an extensive introduction, detailing the scope and method of the study. It strongly asserts that the study is nationally representative, with particular attention given to “participant confidence” and “survey participation rates” as well as the quality and standardization of the questions.
We read (pp.9-10):
The present report summarizes the results of the Turkish Faith and Religiosity Survey (TFRS), conducted between December 2021 and May 2022. The data for this report was collected through a random sampling of 1,942 individuals aged 18 and over in 12 regions of Türkiye at the Statistical Region Classification Level 1 (NUTS1), representing both rural and urban populations in proportion. Using graphs, tables, and maps, the report presents the distribution of various dimensions of religious beliefs, attitudes, and behaviors among the adult population in terms of gender, age group, education level, rural-urban residence, and geographical region.
The TFRS Project aims to achieve two main goals. The first is to examine the statistical distribution of common beliefs and religious practices in Türkiye with a more comprehensive and consistent methodological approach than previous studies. The second goal is to evaluate the efficacy of new methods for collecting reliable data in large-scale sociological and statistical studies in Türkiye.
In the pursuit of the first objective, care was taken to avoid common methodological errors that are prevalent in current research on religiosity. A significant issue that has been identified in this regard pertains to the use of flawed questionnaires in determining the distributions of religious beliefs, practices, and attitudes. Specifically, many current studies employ complex questions that are prone to elicit socially desirable responses, thereby introducing bias into the data. Furthermore, a notable proportion of current research focuses on the political dimensions of religiosity, rather than making a concerted effort to comprehensively understand religious beliefs and practices. This narrow focus detracts from the ability to gain a holistic understanding of common religious beliefs, practices, and attitudes.
To address the limitations of previous surveys, the TFRS survey questions were developed by the research team in consultation with academic experts. This process involved a thorough review of relevant local and international surveys over the course of approximately one year. In order to standardize the structure of the questions and response options, the research team considered the potential for statistical data analysis and the limitations inherent in the use of the questions. The survey contained approximately 200 questions covering various dimensions of religious beliefs, attitudes, and practices. Standardizing the response categories allowed for the examination of various aspects not directly explored in the research through the use of methods such as factor analysis.
It is well-recognized that topics related to social life are particularly prone to eliciting social desirability bias. This is especially true for issues surrounding faith and religiosity, which have the potential to create social segregation and conflict. Therefore, in research on these topics, it is likely that participants will provide responses that are influenced by a desire to conform to social expectations. In order to mitigate this bias in the present study, efforts were made to avoid statements that could be perceived as challenging the participants’ beliefs and attitudes, in order to minimize the likelihood of socially desirable responses.
In order to enhance the participation rate of the research, certain methods were implemented. Specifically, innovative field application techniques were devised to allow for comfortable and pressure-free responses to the survey questions. To facilitate this, a digital questionnaire form was created and administered electronically. Participants who were contacted in person were given the option to complete the questionnaire electronically, either immediately or at a later time, while those who were unable or unwilling to do so were interviewed instead. This approach aimed to strike a balance between the existing practices and the need for participant comfort and convenience.
Now, let’s move on to the actual findings of the report.
Belief in God Is the Norm
The report begins with the issue of “Belief in God,” along with the following graph (p.28):94.3% are theists, and within the remaining 5.7% of non-believers (as the reports put it), 2.5% are what we’d refer to as agnostics. Only a mere 1.5% are actual atheists.
This means that, despite all the claims and investments of New Atheists, atheists remain a small minority even among non-believers.
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As for the believing 94.3%, 85.7% have firm belief, with “no doubts about it.” This is quite remarkable, especially considering that, for decades, the ruling ideology in Türkiye has been Kemalism. And, as everyone knows, Kemalism is basically State-enforced secularism. In fact, it is the most militant form of secularism too, modeled on the French concept of laïcité.
It demonstrates the internal resistance offered by Islam as a way of life that, despite the State (and thus the education system, the media and so on) pushing for secularism, the population somehow still manages to resist and remain firm. This is to the extent that even Türkiye, perhaps the most secularized Sunni-majority nation in the world, may very well be less secular than the most Christian nation in the West.
The power of Islam in society is such that İsmet Özel, once an influential Marxist ideologue, eventually came back to Islam and is now considered to be some sort of “Islamist.” You’ll scarcely find such “radical conversions” in the contemporary secularized West, which denotes Christianity’s inability to attract people towards it and persuade them of its “truth.”
A Religious Youth
Here’s another interesting graph (p.29):It’s understandable that the youth would be less religious than the older generations. This seems to be linked to their way of life (centered around hedonism); their consumption of pop-culture; and more. Yet even among the 18-24 demographic it is still a staggering 89%.
Contrast this with the religiosity trends in the West, where millennials (born 1981-1996) and gen Z (born after millennials) aren’t exactly known to be religiously inclined. In the United States, for example, as per a survey last year by the American Survey Center, more than a third (34%) of gen Z are “religiously unaffiliated” (compared to 29% for millennials), with 9% being agnostic and 9% being atheists.
Basically, the youth within what is perhaps the most secularized Sunni-majority nation are more religious—incomparably so, we might add!—than the youth in what is perhaps one of the most Christian Western nations.
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