MAJOR NEWS: AUSSOM is officially the last AU mission in Somalia

[Barkhadle1520]

https://www.hiiraan.com/news4/2025/...urce=hiiraan&utm_medium=SomaliNewsUpdateFront

"Youssouf stressed that AUSSOM will be the AU’s final mission in Somalia — designed not as an open-ended deployment, but as a bridge to full Somali ownership of its security."

This was predictable considering they're running out of funds right now

This is huge, this means the next President that will be elected will only have 9 months to prepare the SNA and hire around 10,000 soldiers, he will also have to reform the SNA and especially give them higher wages and avoid holding back salaries now since desertion is not an option

Y'all better pray HSM or another one of these clowns isnt elected or its over for Somalia

 

[therandomone]

Yeah If hsm wins again alshabab would just swoop all of somalia

 

[Barkhadle1520]

Yeah If hsm wins again alshabab would just swoop all of somalia

Just pray atp bro what can i tell you

 

[El Nino]

Dawn or doom? The new AU mission in Somalia and the fight for stability

Despite two decades of progress, Somalia remains fragile. Funding for the newly established African Union Support and Stabilisation Mission in Somalia is yet to materialise, while fragmented donor engagement jeopardises state-building efforts. To avert a security vacuum, the EU needs to join...

www.iss.europa.eu

AU forces have received staggering 4.3 billion euros since 2007 and furthermore equipped by atleast 1 billion euros by the US ( I split the 2 billy mentioned in the article).

AMISOM/ATMIS could actually be in the top 5 of SSAs best equipped military force. Coupled with 1000 Usd salary, shit is crazy. Well, you were likely killed from 2007-2014, if you joined them, but the last 10 years shit has calmed down.

Add in the billions provided by the west to SNA, FGS and the number skyrockets. The west has spent alot in Somalia, far more then other african countries. Every since TNG days, USA has provided approximately 1,2 billion USD to Somalia. Most of is pocketed, only a tiny amount reaching people in need. 1,2 x 19 (2006-2025) is 22,8 billion $. Add in contributions by others such as GCC and EU. Aid money has been an amazing racket for the corrupt somali elite.

UN/ the west is washing its hands from Somalia. Other pressing concerns and economic hardship means less money allocated to propping up weak client states and thats what the FGS is. The writing was on the wall.

FGS knows it too. Back in 2024, FGS requested for the United Nations Transitional Assistance Mission in Somalia (UNTMIS) to end by 2026. The UN mission will turn into UN country mission. This political jargon and unfamiliarity with the UN organisation is jarring. I asked Chatgpt to make sense of what this entails and here is what it told me.

1. What is UNTMIS?​

• United Nations Transitional Assistance Mission in Somalia (UNTMIS) is a special political mission created to help Somalia with governance, stabilization, and coordination of international support after decades of conflict.
• Transitional missions like this are time-limited and usually set up by the UN Security Council.

---

2. What is the UN Country Team (UNCT)?​

• This is the permanent UN presence in any country.
• It’s made up of the resident UN agencies, funds, and programmes (like UNDP, UNICEF, WHO, WFP, UNHCR, etc.), coordinated under the UN Resident Coordinator.
• Their work is usually development- and humanitarian-focused, not political/security.

---

3. What does the “two-year transition” mean?​

• The UN is winding down UNTMIS (a temporary, mission-style structure) and handing over responsibilities to the regular UN Country Team.
• During these two years (until Oct 2026), functions will shift step by step:
  • Political support to Somali institutions
  • Coordination of international donors and aid
  • Technical advice on rule of law, constitution, elections, etc.
• Security responsibilities (peacekeeping-type tasks) have already shifted to the African Union mission (ATMIS)and Somali forces.
• By Oct 2026 → UNTMIS closes, and Somalia is supported through the normal UN development/humanitarian system rather than a political/security mission.

---

4. Practically, this means:​

• Less “peace mission” footprint, more of a standard UN development footprint.
• Day-to-day, Somalis will deal more with UN agencies (UNDP, UNICEF, WHO, etc.) and less with a centralized mission.
• It reflects confidence that Somalia is moving out of the “crisis/transition” phase and into a more normal international partnership mode.
• However, it also means Somali institutions must carry more of the political and security burden themselves.

---

In short:
The UN is saying: “We are phasing out the special transitional mission and shifting to regular UN country team operations. By 2026, Somalia will be treated like any other state with a UN development presence, not as a special post-conflict mission site.”

Coupled with AU forces having no funding and it all adds up. The west has made its mind.

2026 might be our year Inshallah.

 

[Barkhadle1520]

Dawn or doom? The new AU mission in Somalia and the fight for stability

Despite two decades of progress, Somalia remains fragile. Funding for the newly established African Union Support and Stabilisation Mission in Somalia is yet to materialise, while fragmented donor engagement jeopardises state-building efforts. To avert a security vacuum, the EU needs to join...

www.iss.europa.eu

AU forces have received staggering 4.3 billion euros since 2007 and furthermore equipped by atleast 1 billion euros by the US ( I split the 2 billy mentioned in the article).

AMISOM/ATMIS could actually be in the top 5 of SSAs best equipped military force. Coupled with 1000 Usd salary, shit is crazy. Well, you were likely killed from 2007-2014, if you joined them, but the last 10 years shit has calmed down.

Add in the billions provided by the west to SNA, FGS and the number skyrockets. The west has spent alot in Somalia, far more then other african countries. Every since TNG days, USA has provided approximately 1,2 billion USD to Somalia. Most of is pocketed, only a tiny amount reaching people in need. 1,2 x 19 (2006-2025) is 22,8 billion $. Add in contributions by others such as GCC and EU. Aid money has been an amazing racket for the corrupt somali elite.

With that money they could've easily rebuilt SNA into a formidable force but its clearly not in their interests, doesnt take a genius to notice

2026 might be our year Inshallah.

What makes you believe that ?

 

[El Nino]

With that money they could've easily rebuilt SNA into a formidable force but its clearly not in their interests, doesnt take a genius to notice

What makes you believe that ?

Sink or swim moment for FGS due to lessened foreign interference. I am happy with that as somali elite are not provided with an easy way out, rather they have to face the problems plagueing Somalia. The corrupt ones will run away and those who want to improve Somalia will stay.

 

[Barkhadle1520]

Sink or swim moment for FGS

Yeah but you realize they're closer to sink than swim ?

The corrupt ones will run away and those who want to improve Somalia will stay.

If there's one thing you can learn from history is that a corrupt official will try to squeeze every last penny into his pockets before the whole thing crumbles, their reasoning most of the time is that if the ship is sinking might as well get everything you can before its fully submurged

I wouldn't be as optimistic if I was you

 

[Midas]

Honestly when you compare that to the $2 trillion America spent on the war in Afghanistan you realize it was baiscally a drop in the bucket.

 

[Midas]

The afghan govt literally got $18 billion dollars worth of military equipment.

 

[Emir of Zayla]

Honestly when you compare that to the $2 trillion America spent on the war in Afghanistan you realize it was baiscally a drop in the bucket.

How much did the West waste with all these peacekeeping missions, deployments and whatnot over the past decades in Somalia?

 

[Midas]

How much did the West waste with all these peacekeeping missions, deployments and whatnot over the past decades in Somalia?

It seems like 6 billion in military spending by fhe e.u and u.s combined and then if we say that they funded like 70% of the somali budget since 2012 add another 7 billion. So in total about 13 billion spent on somalia related matters vs the $ 2 trillion on Afghanistan

 

[El Nino]

Yeah but you realize they're closer to sink than swim ?

If there's one thing you can learn from history is that a corrupt official will try to squeeze every last penny into his pockets before the whole thing crumbles, their reasoning most of the time is that if the ship is sinking might as well get everything you can before its fully submurged

I wouldn't be as optimistic if I was you

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[Barkhadle1520]

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Ceasefire with Shabaab ? yeah u lost it

 

[Burqad]

Honestly when you compare that to the $2 trillion America spent on the war in Afghanistan you realize it was baiscally a drop in the bucket.

American spending on Somalia excludes stuff like drone strikes and other military and intelligence spending, so it’s probably as much as Afghanistan.

 

[Midas]

American spending on Somalia excludes stuff like drone strikes and other military and intelligence spending, so it’s probably as much as Afghanistan.

Drone strikes are like a couple 100k a piece. So even if there were hundreds of them a year your looking at tens of millions dollars a year at most.

 

[Burqad]

Drone strikes are like a couple 100k a piece. So even if there were hundreds of them a year your looking at tens of millions dollars a year at most.

The cheapest American drone costs 18,591 dollars an hour to fly. You have to include all of the infustructure to deploy them and all of that sums up to be around a few million a strike. Add the deployment of carrier groups, plane air strikes and such and America has probably spent more on Somalia than Afghanistan

 

[Midas]

The cheapest American drone costs 18,591 dollars an hour to fly. You have to include all of the infustructure to deploy them and all of that sums up to be around a few million a strike. Add the deployment of carrier groups, plane air strikes and such and America has probably spent more on Somalia than Afghanistan

Carrier groups ? What are you talking about nobody is deploying stuff like this to somalia. The u.s only has 11 air carriers.

I feel like you don't understand the level of spending done in Afghanistan. At one point the u.s had 100,000 troops on the ground at a single time. And even as latest 2017 there was still 10,000 troops in Afghanistan. I dont even know how you could think spending on somalia could come close to Afghanistan let alone surpass it.

 

[El Nino]

Ceasefire with Shabaab ? yeah u lost it

What other solution there is that doesn’t require Jilib and other towns AS controls to not be levelled to the ground. My priority is minimise civilian deaths and Im all for preventing unnessecary bloodshed.

The recent failure to clear out AS from Central Somalia due to incompetence of SNA and qabyaalad (some clans are allied with AS) have made me more realistic. FGS doesn’t have the upperhand and it did when the army reached Ceelbuur in early 2023. Aadaan Yabaal is back in khawaariji hands for example.

To be frank, there is more of a chance at the moment that AS leaders reforms like Jolani then FGS defeating them.

Most crucial term for the ceasefire would be that both parties kickoff foreign soldiers out of the country. AS uses Abu falafel and babatunde for süicide bombings and FGS has other africans helping them aswell. AS are hypocrites when they accuse FGS of using foreigners for their safety. They do the same.

Of course other terms would be no takfiir of the government, free movement of goods and people and laying down their arms in exchange for peace. AS occupies the most fertile parts of Somaliweyn, these guys need to kicked off there, slowly or quickly.

Might seems extremely farfetched but what can we do? FGS is incompetent and until that changes, ceasefire is needed in order to buy time to improve SNA and FGS.

 

[Barkhadle1520]

What other solution there is that doesn’t require Jilib and other towns AS controls to not be levelled to the ground.

Just fighting them and getting them back ?