I have been an observer of Somali politics since adolescence, I was never contaminated with tribalism so I believe I am as an objective of an observer as any outsider. Despite my tribal background, I think HSM is one of the most politically competent Somali presidents if not the most politically competent president ever.
First of all, we need to remember that this man was one of the people who founded the ICU which stabilised the south for a good amount of time before all of their work was disrupted by Abdullah yusuf Ahmed.
2. Him and Sheikh Shariff secured power and the trust of International community but alshabab turned on them even though these guys were mostly from outside the region (from Somaliland) and they had nothing to do with the success of the ICU.
3. After 2 years of fighting al shabab they finally kick them out of Mogadishu and development kicks off.
4. He becomes, president and the government forces advances outside of Mogadishu and for the first time in decades the government doesn't only have power over Mogadishu but outside of Mogadishu as well. He navigates his foreign policy without provoking any big country because he understands how fragile Somalia is.
5. He loses election and hand power peacefully to farmajo. Farmajo, a guy who didn't participate anyway shape or form in establishing that government or freeing Mogadishu. He does some good things like expanding the army but he inherited everything from HSM first term. He feeds off populism and take picture with a war criminal like Tukee and refuses to hand power peacefully almost causing a civil war in the process.
6. HSM comes back to power. Inheriting more friction from farmajo. He tries to repair that fraction peacefully. However; stubborn self centred politicians go against the collective interest like Deni in PL, Bixi in SL and Madobe In Jubaland.
7. HSM start to focus on these troublemaking regions because they are a bigger danger than Al shabab. By creating North Eastern State hitting to birds with one stone. Somaliland self sabotage by provoking China, he uses that against them. Puntland self sabotage by picking on Turkey he uses that against them. All while maintaining good relationships with their backers
8. He has the support of a segment of daarods up north. Hindered Somaliland aspiration for independence and weakened puntland. (Note that I am not supportive of all of that I merely suggesting he is achieving his objectives)
9. He signs an Oil deal with the turks which was halted by Farmajo's stubbornness who had the opportunity to sign it but refused based on a populist rather than pragmatic stance. He also has both Turkey and Egypt support (two competing nations). In addition to China's support. Somaliland and puntland geeljire mentality enhances his support from all of his allies.
All of these points made me think that this man could be Somalia's FDR and Ibrahim lincoln simultaneously. He is putting all of these chaotic people in their place while securing the support of competing international powers. His enemies live in fantasy and are blinded by their grandiostiy while he works to achieve his objectives. I really think a third term for that guy would be great for Somalia on the long run.
First of all, we need to remember that this man was one of the people who founded the ICU which stabilised the south for a good amount of time before all of their work was disrupted by Abdullah yusuf Ahmed.
2. Him and Sheikh Shariff secured power and the trust of International community but alshabab turned on them even though these guys were mostly from outside the region (from Somaliland) and they had nothing to do with the success of the ICU.
3. After 2 years of fighting al shabab they finally kick them out of Mogadishu and development kicks off.
4. He becomes, president and the government forces advances outside of Mogadishu and for the first time in decades the government doesn't only have power over Mogadishu but outside of Mogadishu as well. He navigates his foreign policy without provoking any big country because he understands how fragile Somalia is.
5. He loses election and hand power peacefully to farmajo. Farmajo, a guy who didn't participate anyway shape or form in establishing that government or freeing Mogadishu. He does some good things like expanding the army but he inherited everything from HSM first term. He feeds off populism and take picture with a war criminal like Tukee and refuses to hand power peacefully almost causing a civil war in the process.
6. HSM comes back to power. Inheriting more friction from farmajo. He tries to repair that fraction peacefully. However; stubborn self centred politicians go against the collective interest like Deni in PL, Bixi in SL and Madobe In Jubaland.
7. HSM start to focus on these troublemaking regions because they are a bigger danger than Al shabab. By creating North Eastern State hitting to birds with one stone. Somaliland self sabotage by provoking China, he uses that against them. Puntland self sabotage by picking on Turkey he uses that against them. All while maintaining good relationships with their backers
8. He has the support of a segment of daarods up north. Hindered Somaliland aspiration for independence and weakened puntland. (Note that I am not supportive of all of that I merely suggesting he is achieving his objectives)
9. He signs an Oil deal with the turks which was halted by Farmajo's stubbornness who had the opportunity to sign it but refused based on a populist rather than pragmatic stance. He also has both Turkey and Egypt support (two competing nations). In addition to China's support. Somaliland and puntland geeljire mentality enhances his support from all of his allies.
All of these points made me think that this man could be Somalia's FDR and Ibrahim lincoln simultaneously. He is putting all of these chaotic people in their place while securing the support of competing international powers. His enemies live in fantasy and are blinded by their grandiostiy while he works to achieve his objectives. I really think a third term for that guy would be great for Somalia on the long run.
The 2022 progress is literally all Macawisley hsm didnt do shit and sna isnt even a functional army under him
