Not too long ago, Business Insider reported that the American population growth plummeted to its lowest during the pandemic, to the extent that it was “even slower than during the Great Depression.”
And this phenomenon was not restricted to the U.S. alone, nor is it specific to the situation brought about by the pandemic. The Lancet (a leading British medical journal) reported in a 2020 study that the human population will peak at 9.7 billion in 2064.
Compare this with a previous United Nations projection reporting it will peak at around 11 billion in 2100. This drastic shift in the projected numbers is based on lower fertility rates.
The Lancet study further indicates that by then, 183 out of 195 countries will have total fertility rate (TFR) that is below replacement levels, which is 2.1 children per woman.
The loss of a working-age population in particular will impact the rise in countries such as China and India, while pushing others to bring in even more immigrants.
To say the very least, this information paints quite a bleak picture.
Furthermore, it seriously calls into question the demographic alarmism that was so widespread (and which still in fact is among ecologists); that human numbers are too plentiful for this planet.
From Malthus in the 18th century to Paul Ehrlich’s Population Bomb published in 1968, this sentiment was universal within the West. Malthus stated that the geometric progression of the human population was too fast in contrast to the arithmetic progression of the resources available to humanity. Paul Ehrlich’s Population Bomb was a neo-Malthusian work which made all kinds of failed predictions.
But look at the West now. They’ve stopped producing children, and this is resulting in new problems. And it’s not limited to the West either. It also applies just as equally to the other parts of the world that decided to follow its path towards “modernization.”
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So let’s take a closer look at how modernity decimated human fertility rates and has thus endangered the human race. We will be focusing on three of the most harmful examples.
The French Revolution
This specific example may come as a surprise, especially since most of you would naturally expect us to speak specifically regarding industrialization and feminism (spoiler alert: these will follow). However, the French revolution of 1789 is most certainly an understated cause.First of all, let’s bear in mind that this was was a modernist and liberal revolution, one embodying the “values” of the so-called “Enlightenment.”
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In their 2019 paper, Fertility and Modernity, American economists Enrico Spolaore and Romain Wacziarg demonstrated that the reduction in fertility rates within many French-speaking European countries had in fact preceded industrialization, and that this was due solely to the cultural values of the French revolution.
An academic review summarizes the paper as follows:
Using fertility data from across Europe, along with detailed records from a single French village, they suggest that it was a change in cultural values — not in production techniques — that brought about the shift to smaller families, beginning in France. Following this hypothesis, the French Revolution, not the Industrial Revolution, deserves credit for the fertility transition.
(…)
Wacziarg speculates that cultural ideas born in the Age of Enlightenment and developed during the French Revolution played a key role. For example, the revolution occurred with a backdrop of rising anticlericalism, which undermined the Catholic Church’s opposition to fertility controls. Also a factor, he suggests, was the way libertine novels of the 18th century spread the notion that sex could be for pleasure, not just reproduction. Whatever the root cause, he says, having fewer children became socially acceptable.
“Sex for pleasure and not reproduction” is the core motto of the modernist agenda in relation to human relationships. And in the current day and age, “libertine novels” can be considered a parallel to the libertine social media.
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It’s also interesting to note the emphasis on “cultural values,” since placing the blame fully on the industrial revolution alone and simply reducing everything to economics could easily be viewed as a kind of Marxist or materialist reading of history.
The reality is that industrialization did in fact play a role in the mess.
Industrialization
Ted Kaczynski started his famous manifesto with these words:The Industrial Revolution and its consequences have been a disaster for the human race. They have greatly increased the life-expectancy of those of us who live in “advanced” countries, but they have destabilized society, have made life unfulfilling, have subjected human beings to indignities, have led to widespread psychological suffering (in the Third World to physical suffering as well) and have inflicted severe damage on the natural world.
With regard to the specific case of fertility, industrialization brought along with it a set of related societal phenomena. These were things such as urbanization and housing; higher costs of raising children; etc., and unlike their pre-industrial ancestors these factors deterred parents from have loads of children.
There are simply too many studies to quote, but one specific study examined the general impact of industrialization on fertility within 19th century America. The study noted “an increase of 10% in the share of workers employed in manufacturing reduces fertility by about 3.1%.”
Another study focusing on South Carolina showed that “textile mill arrival was associated
with an 11% reduction in fertility by 1900.”
Of course there’s no denying that such studies can be multiplied endlessly. However Shanna Swan’s 2021-book, Count Down, is an excellent read. It shows how the industrial (and post-industrial) world—through environmental chemicals (in food, home furniture, etc.)—is literally destroying both the male and female reproductive systems on a fundamental biological level.