Demographics in the coming years

[El Nino]

Contrary to the popular belief, the world is heading towards underpopulation. Fertility rates have falled dramatically after 2015 outside of Africa and Africa too is showing signs of declining fertility, albeit slowly.






This is the most important tidbit. Africa will likely not in my opinion reach the figure given for 2100. Longterm population projections are basically suugo science, so lets just stick with what we know.

The 2050 figure seems spot on. However, with the world becoming more conservative recently, this will affect Africa. Who knows what will happen. Most countries will probably not legalise abortion and attitudes towards womans role will stay in place for a while. Also in places where young girls education is lacking, the fertility transition will take longer.

South Africa, the most developed SSA country had the fertility rate of 2.88 in 2000 and only declined to 2.41 in 2020. I expect a similar trend for most countries in the continent.


Also take everything the account I linked with a bit of salt. He is biased towards white people.

@GemState what do you think will happen in the coming years?

 

[GemState]

Contrary to the popular belief, the world is heading towards underpopulation. Fertility rates have falled dramatically after 2015 outside of Africa and Africa too is showing signs of declining fertility, albeit slowly.






This is the most important tidbit. Africa will likely not in my opinion reach the figure given for 2100. Longterm population projections are basically suugo science, so lets just stick with what we know.

The 2050 figure seems spot on. However, with the world becoming more conservative recently, this will affect Africa. Who knows what will happen. Most countries will probably not legalise abortion and attitudes towards womans role will stay in place for a while. Also in places where young girls education is lacking, the fertility transition will take longer.

South Africa, the most developed SSA country had the fertility rate of 2.88 in 2000 and only declined to 2.41 in 2020. I expect a similar trend for most countries in the continent.


Also take everything the account I linked with a bit of salt. He is biased towards white people.

@GemState what do you think will happen in the coming years?

The UNPD's 1998 revision projected sub-Saharan Africa's population in 2050 at 1·52 billion; this projection was revised to 1·75 billion in 2008 and 2·12 billion in 2019, it's actually more than the projections initially expected. SSA will hit ~2 billion in 2050

South America, East Asia, South East Asia(bar Indonesia), Europe and India are completely fucked in the long run demographically. Africans will constitute the largest population of people of prime working age anywhere in the world by 2050 despite only making up 1/4 of the world.

 

[El Nino]

The UNPD's 1998 revision projected sub-Saharan Africa's population in 2050 at 1·52 billion; this projection was revised to 1·75 billion in 2008 and 2·12 billion in 2019, it's actually more than the projections initially expected. SSA will hit ~2 billion in 2050

South America, East Asia, South East Asia(bar Indonesia), Europe and India are completely fucked in the long run demographically. Africans will constitute the largest population of people of prime working age anywhere in the world by 2050 despite only making up 1/4 of the world.

SSA is right on track, good to hear. The figure given back then was shockingly low.

Its has been amusing to watch how those regions have managed to become old before becoming rich. China might succeed.

Question in the coming decades is if countries will let Africans immigrate to their country. Most of the world is not that tolerant as the west and even the west is becoming more anti-immigrant. Only USA and Canada will accept large amount of black people to their country.

Imo, this will be good to the continent. Brain drain will slow down and with this more development will happen.

 

[reer]

The UNPD's 1998 revision projected sub-Saharan Africa's population in 2050 at 1·52 billion; this projection was revised to 1·75 billion in 2008 and 2·12 billion in 2019, it's actually more than the projections initially expected. SSA will hit ~2 billion in 2050

South America, East Asia, South East Asia(bar Indonesia), Europe and India are completely fucked in the long run demographically. Africans will constitute the largest population of people of prime working age anywhere in the world by 2050 despite only making up 1/4 of the world.

WATTBA WE ARE ON OUR WAY TO AFRICA'S TIME. @Nilotic

 

[El Nino]

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[KobeBryant]

@Basra biggest nightmare

 

[Basra]

WATTBA WE ARE ON OUR WAY TO AFRICA'S TIME. @Nilotic


View attachment 229157

So that means -since 1995 All Africans breeded. No gay people or infertile people who could have helped with decreasing the population out of not having babies. They all had at least 10 each.


@KobeBryant indeed it is a nightmare

 

[El Nino]

So that means -since 1995 All Africans breeded. No gay people or infertile people who could have helped with decreasing the population out of not having babies. They all had at least 10 each.


@KobeBryant indeed it is a nightmare

Basra abaayo you need to face the reality of the coming years. Cadaamiinta will be old and bedridden in nursery homes, while us africans will stay young and healthy for long time. This is the new world order.

 

[Basra]

Basra abaayo you need to face the reality of the coming years. Cadaamiinta will be old and bedridden in nursery homes, while us africans will stay young and healthy for long time. This is the new world order.

My dear i will dead when that happens.

 

[wheel]

More africans isnt a good thing for Africa, it just means more people for the world to feed.

 

[Somalaiklik]

I hope africa gets to 5 billion. Start having 20 kids!