Civil war enters second year in Ethiopia

Abiy ain't going nowhere. TPLF is dusted off and so there could be no puppet of a PM like Haliemariam Deslgan. If Abiy goes, Amhara comes.

And, if a Amhara comes into power, Somalis would wish Meles or even Abiy was still in power. A Xabashi in power means game over for Somalia. Politically, diplomatically, socially, militarily and anything ending in "ly".
Abye days are numbered and forget about Amhara clowns that even hyjacked and fooled Abye to be reckless and bunch of idiots.how on earth and this time and age would someone incriminate himself like the amhara kilil president.He just shot himself live on TV.

Tigrayans will.be in addis Ababa soon.the Western Powers are brokering regime change and post Abye Ethiopia.
Abye is being told to leave Addis ababa and TDF are waiting for green lights from Western Powers on when to storm Addis Ababa it would be a smooth power transition not like what happened to Siyad Barre in 1991.
 
And if a Amhara comes into Power, the 10th President of Somalia will be whoever is in Addis. Unaka Leh x10. Forget about Somalia, I could see an Ethiopian led Invasion.

And to believe, Megensitu is still alive, to see Abiy in power and maybe his clanfolk back in power,
No Amhara is comming back to power they dont have the balls, guts even to defend Amhara region and want the entire Ethiopia to die for them while they lock their sons in their house discouraging them to go to war.A war they created and didnt go the way they planned.

To the west the initial plan was to reinstate Amhara but after what happened in Tigray they made a U turn policy of ensuring that the only way Ethiopia can stay relevant and as a country is through ethinc federalism.Previously they envisioned centralism after Tigray lost its power in Addis Ababa.
 

reer

VIP
No Amhara is comming back to power they dont have the balls, guts even to defend Amhara region and want the entire Ethiopia to die for them while they lock their sons in their house discouraging them to go to war.A war they created and didnt go the way they planned.

To the west the initial plan was to reinstate Amhara but after what happened in Tigray they made a U turn policy of ensuring that the only way Ethiopia can stay relevant and as a country is through ethinc federalism.Previously they envisioned centralism after Tigray lost its power in Addis Ababa.
but i think it will take long to topple abiye. as long as the tigray fiasco is away from addis and amhara region capital is safe and the amharized oromo hordes are cannon fodder amhara can continue limping into 2022. amhara way kibreen but i dont see tplf returning to power without them allying with another ethnicity.
what i dont understand is egypt and the arab league not heavily arming every mucaarad jabhad to fuel carnage and full blown civil war. its a logical thing to do.
 

Calaf

Veni Vidi Vici
2022 CHESS CHAMP
GENERALISSIMO
VIP
Abye days are numbered and forget about Amhara clowns that even hyjacked and fooled Abye to be reckless and bunch of idiots.how on earth and this time and age would someone incriminate himself like the amhara kilil president.He just shot himself live on TV.

Tigrayans will.be in addis Ababa soon.the Western Powers are brokering regime change and post Abye Ethiopia.
Abye is being told to leave Addis ababa and TDF are waiting for green lights from Western Powers on when to storm Addis Ababa it would be a smooth power transition not like what happened to Siyad Barre in 1991.
No Amhara is comming back to power they dont have the balls, guts even to defend Amhara region and want the entire Ethiopia to die for them while they lock their sons in their house discouraging them to go to war.A war they created and didnt go the way they planned.

To the west the initial plan was to reinstate Amhara but after what happened in Tigray they made a U turn policy of ensuring that the only way Ethiopia can stay relevant and as a country is through ethinc federalism.Previously they envisioned centralism after Tigray lost its power in Addis Ababa.
The West finger is no longer dominant. Amhara are playing the Prince Heungson style of doqonimo. Act like doqons, speak like doqons, but when its time to leech, they will jump. A Oromo won't be in power nor will a Tigray. A .5? Or the former king, Amhara...
 
but i think it will take long to topple abiye. as long as the tigray fiasco is away from addis and amhara region capital is safe and the amharized oromo hordes are cannon fodder amhara can continue limping into 2022. amhara way kibreen but i dont see tplf returning to power without them allying with another ethnicity.
what i dont understand is egypt and the arab league not heavily arming every mucaarad jabhad to fuel carnage and full blown civil war. its a logical thing to do.
I think you are not upto date with the situation in Ethiopia.

Things have changed so fast.
TDF control the jagular vein of Ethiopia i.e Djibouti to Addis Ababa road.

Gonder is about to fall.

If Abye is sending his Republican guard to fight in Afar and they are being killed like flies.ENDF has been annihilated.

Literary they are at the doors of Addis Ababa.
 
The West finger is no longer dominant. Amhara are playing the Prince Heungson style of doqonimo. Act like doqons, speak like doqons, but when its time to leech, they will jump. A Oromo won't be in power nor will a Tigray. A .5? Or the former king, Amhara...
Ethiopia is a western project.

If the west loses influence Ethiopia is a house made of cards and it will crumble.
 

reer

VIP
I think you are not upto date with the situation in Ethiopia.

Things have changed so fast.
TDF control the jagular vein of Ethiopia i.e Djibouti to Addis Ababa.

Gonder is about to fall.

If Abye is sending his Republican guard to fight in Afar and they are being killed like flies.ENDF has been annihilated.

Literary they are at the doors of Addis Ababa.
how do you think this will effect the somali elections is abiye falls before october?
Ethiopia is a western project.

If the west loses influence Ethiopia is a house made of cards and it will crumble.
if we werent a failed state galbeed would have been annexed. nacala somali ku yaal.
 

Calaf

Veni Vidi Vici
2022 CHESS CHAMP
GENERALISSIMO
VIP
Ethiopia is a western project.

If the west loses influence Ethiopia is a house made of cards and it will crumble.
And its starting to crack. The glue is wearing off, its may the strongest man win, and that is why Amhara will replace Abiy if he resigns or gets forced out, in the same way if Farmajo resigns or gets forced out, it will be a Hawiye that replaces him.
 
And its starting to crack. The glue is wearing off, its may the strongest man win, and that is why Amhara will replace Abiy if he resigns or gets forced out, in the same way if Farmajo resigns or gets forced out, it will be a Hawiye that replaces him.
Tigray want to keep a federalist state while Amhara wanted a centralist state.
The west wanted Amhara to rule Ethiopia under Centralism but in this day and age Centralism is obsolete.
They just realised that the centralism project would lead to the break up of Ethiopia permanently.
TDF to be honest has fought for the rights of every ethnoc group in Ethiopia and have defeated the feudalist, Amhara privilege policies.

Hawiye policy is driven by Darood phobia.

They supported and brought Farmajo to use him as a stick against D block.
Farmajo messed up with their plan and he not only became a stick against Darood but also a karbash for Hawiye.
If Farmajo was re elected he would have divided hawiye and pitted them against each other that would be very dangerous for them.
 
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Calaf

Veni Vidi Vici
2022 CHESS CHAMP
GENERALISSIMO
VIP
Tigray want to keep a federalist state while Amhara wanted a centralist state.
The west wanted Amhara to rule Ethiopia under Centralism but in this day and age Centralism is obsolete.
They just realised that the centralism project would lead to the break up of Ethiopia permanently.
TDF to be honest has fought for the rights of every ethnoc group in Ethiopia and have defeated the feudalist, Amhara privilege policies.

Hawiye policy is driven by Darood phobia.

They supported and brought Farmajo to use him as a stick against D block.
Farmajo messed up with their plan and he not only became a stick against Darood but also a karbash for Hawiye.
If Farmajo was re elected he would have divided hawiye and pitted them against each other that would be very dangerous for them.
Unfortunately, Amhara does have every right to claim the shots. Oromo had 1 chance, just 1, and they blew it by using Abiy Ahmed, a former TPLF member. Now he daggered his old teammates, leaving his folk in disarray. Centralism, Federalism, whatever you do, it doesn't matter. Amhara will get the last laugh. You shouldn’t advocate for Abiy to leave, it will be a very regretful act for HOA.

Your analogy for Somalia, Darood and Hawiye is the same case for Ethiopia, just add 2 more tribes into the fold. Abiy messed up the whole plan, divided up his own clan and pitted others against each other. And now, he is reelected.
 
Unfortunately, Amhara does have every right to claim the shots. Oromo had 1 chance, just 1, and they blew it by using Abiy Ahmed, a former TPLF member. Now he daggered his old teammates, leaving his folk in disarray. Centralism, Federalism, whatever you do, it doesn't matter. Amhara will get the last laugh. You shouldn’t advocate for Abiy to leave, it will be a very regretful act for HOA.

Your analogy for Somalia, Darood and Hawiye is the same case for Ethiopia, just add 2 more tribes into the fold. Abiy messed up the whole plan, divided up his own clan and pitted others against each other. And now, he is reelected.
Abye messed up because he wanted to make Amhara happy.

Also most ethiopians prefer ethnic federalism no one wants to be ruled from addis ababa and their mayors, provincial commissioners, district commisoners be amhara who hide under united Ethiopia.

When Meles died Tigrayans were very divided even TPLF now they are united and the west is trying to stear the sitaution out of anarchy and create stability.

Amhara now have no leaverage.TDF are whoopong their asses and are at the mercy of TDF.Everyone in Ethiopia have seen the true colors of amharas even before they could come to power.We somalis have seen how the influx of amhara in Jigjiha has turned into and the way amhara behave arrogantly when they are immigrants in DDS.
We dont want centralism we want Federalims and Confederalims is the best option like that of UAE model.
 

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