how things will unfold in Jubbaland in the next few months

so the dowlad has already said that within the next 3 months a new maamul will be created, this maamul from day one will control close to 45 percent of jubbaland.

250px-Location_jubaland.png


the new maamul will control the biggest and most important cities in jubbaland outside of kismaayo. the plan then is to move to middle jubba and lower jubba capture the towns such has saakow, afmadow and buaale. While this is going on the parliament of Somalia will put forth mooshin to remove Kenya from Somalia (source: https://www.caasimada.net/mooshin-c...saarayo-somalia-oo-la-horgeynayo-baarlamanka/)

contrarily to what people say in somalispot, N&N has the backing of the majority of the MP's otherwise there would already be a mooshin to overthrow N&N.

Kenya will most likely refuse to leave Somalia, and here is were Somalia's alliance with turkey comes into play, Somalia yesterday took a big risk when not voting to condemn turkey and could potentially be kicked out of the Arab league. turkey wont fight they will just sent a battleship to kismaayo and kenya will leave within an hour.

farah maalim predicted this


so by this time next year there will be two maamuls one which will control 90 percent of jubbaland and the other which will control only kismaayo and is only recognised by Kenya. but at this moment kenya would have lost the ICJ case and will be out of Somalia.
 
this is the kismaayo airport

kismaayo-airport.jpg


its a around 10 miles away from the city, it is currently the base of kenyan army, when they leave it will go to the new maamul. and might even get a turkish base there.

madoobe will be blocked by land, air and sea.
 
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Without Kenya who in JL is going to beat madoobes forces? I don’t see it happening

sxb, ahmed madoobe does not even control goobweyne which is 15 miles outside of kismaayo. ahmed madoobe has no interest in jubbaland he only cares about kismaayo the port revenue and charcoal trade.
 

kickz

Engineer of Qandala
SIYAASI
VIP
i think they will make sure kenya leaves, internal problems within somalia they will not get involved.

To reach the port it would mean El Kabob is cleared out from the South which is not a small task.
 

tyrannicalmanager

pseudo-intellectual

kickz

Engineer of Qandala
SIYAASI
VIP
this is the kismaayo airport

kismaayo-airport.jpg


its a around 10 miles away from the city, it is currently the base of kenyan army, when they leave it will go to the new maamul. and might even get a turkish base there.

madoobe will be blocked by land, air and sea.

I didnt realise KDF base was at the airport, no wonder they are so confident in violating Somali Airspace
 
When Kenyan AMISOM vacated outposts in Gedo not manned by Ethiopia Al Shabaab was the only active militia to fill the void likewise if Kenya leaves the lower Jubba it will fall into the lap of Harakat AS kkkk
 

on the article it clearly states villages around jamaame and not jamaame itself it also says SNA soldiers.

sxb if madoobe captured jamaame we would have videos and images of jamaame being captured from al shabaab.
 
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When Kenyan AMISOM vacated outposts in Gedo not manned by Ethiopia Al Shabaab was the only active militia to fill the void likewise if Kenya leaves the lower Jubba it will fall into the lap of Harakat AS kkkk

tell me which city in gedo the kenyan army controlled then left and al shabaab took over?

get out of here with your bullshit, sxb i know my own degaan.
 
To reach the port it would mean El Kabob is cleared out from the South which is not a small task.

thats because no one really tried to liberate those towns, if you look at gedo all the cities are free from al shabaab. and that was done with sna and clan militia.
 

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