tyrannicalmanager
pseudo-intellectual
yet N&N have to them in a unwinnable situation in september.
Kenya's plan against Somalis rapidly advancing at UN (with Etiopian help)
- Thread starter Futurist
- Start date
The court can rule all it likes
You're pre-empting what the ruling might say. I think it'll tell them to come to a negotiated agreement of some kind
At the end of the day the "International Community" decides how to implement the ruling
If enough American/Oil/Norwegian/British/Chinese oil companies are interested in the oil & gas fields, they will make up some excuse to award it to Kenya
At the end of the day geopolitical interests of the super powers, regional powers and multinational corporate interests drive International Law, as @Somalinimo indicated
The issue is no-one has any reason whatsoever to support Somalia. It is literally a periah state.
Presumptuous to say the least
Looking objectively, Kenya have been winning all along
5 years ago, 10 years ago, the coastline was not even up for discussion
Today there is a debate at the International Court as to whether Kenya owns it or Somalia owns it
Kenya controls the territory militarily
It has installed a stooge in Kismaayo
It has the backing of the African Union
It has the backing of the EAC
It will have a seat on the UNSC which it can leverage to get support from other countries who want to get things done at the UNSC i.e. on an (indirect) quid-pro-quo basis
Kenya is playing chess, Somalia is playing checkers
They can promise future votes.
Exactly. The problem with Somaliweyn and any pro Somali politics is that there is no one who would benefit from our rise to power. Everyone with the exception of Afars, who it is in our interests to create a buffer state (Afaria) for, would only lose power.
Any hope for a great somali future isn't going to be easy. In the worst case we will have the entire world on our doorstep invading somaliweyn and nuking us back to the stone age. China, Russia and America all beating the shit out of Somalia for daring to join the Big boy leagues.
tyrannicalmanager
pseudo-intellectual
"Kenya controls the territory militarily" they'll leave after the court case
"It has installed a stooge in Kismaayo"
your overestimating kenyan, the kenyan stooge your talking about was a ex uic/alshabab warlord and key planer of the garissa attack, not very smart if i say so my self.
"secondly
It has the backing of the African Union
It has the backing of the EAC"
support of the martime dispute or just ally?
"It will have a seat on the UNSC which it can leverage to get support from other countries who want to get things done at the UNSC i.e. on an (indirect) quid-pro-quo basis"
all of will happen after the court case.
kenya is a retarded chest player
while somalia checker champion
