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  1. Thegoodshepherd

    4 dead Somaliland soldiers found in Boholaha Xargaga

    7 months after the smashing victory at Goojacade, Somaliland’s dead are still being found. Youth of Las Anod are now searching more hiding places along togga Xargaga for Somaliland bakhti. Aun
  2. Thegoodshepherd

    Rise in cost of living in Somalia (Dec 2018- Dec 2023)

    Source: https://fsnau.org/sectors/markets Although Somalia is a heavily dollarized economy, it is experiencing inflation that is significantly higher than what you would expect from a dollarized economy. US CPI rose 22% in the same time period. 15 of the 18 regions are above that benchmark...
  3. Thegoodshepherd

    Prof. Xasan Sh. Cali explains why secession is a bigger threat the Khwarij

    Secessionism as a project threatens the physical basis of Somalia as a nation-state, while the kabab insurgency is a threat to the idea of the nation-state. This is what most people don’t understand. Kabab is gonorrhea, secession is full-blown AIDS. Listen from min 6:55 to the end.
  4. Thegoodshepherd

    ACLED, International Crisis Group and Sahan Research are all biased in favor of Somaliland

    ACLED, International Crisis Group and Sahan Research are all biased in favor of Somaliland. These three organizations, whom many westerners rely on to provide impartial information regarding Somalia, are firmly in the pro Somaliland camp. ACLED has been ignoring the conflict in Sool over the...
  5. Thegoodshepherd

    Federalism is likely finished if Ethiopia recognizes Somaliland

    If Ethiopia recognizes Somaliland, imo <10% chance of this happening, federalism is finished. Recognition of Somaliland by Ethiopia, followed by the creation of an Ethiopian navy stationed on the Gulf of Aden, would transform federalism into a suicide pact. The only option at that point would be...
  6. Thegoodshepherd

    Somaliland unable to pay its members of parliament

    UCID party spokesperson admits that Somaliland has not been paying its MPs. It is no wonder that Isaaq is auctioning off so much public land in Hargaysa. The gov is very strapped for cash. Isaaq seem to have been pushed to their fiscal limits by the 6 month war with Dhulbahante. The so called...
  7. Thegoodshepherd

    Somaliland got rid of Koonfur Galbeed merchants because they could not compete

    Shameful people @Tropical Breeze @Heavy Mountains @Cartan Boos @Dharbash @Yusuf Abdi Ali Rashid @Ozark @Bo$$man
  8. Thegoodshepherd

    Prof. Opposes giving all Somalis living in Banadir right to vote

    I knew this was coming. There are so many people from Koonfur Galbeed in Xamar, they likely form the plurality, i.e largest single group. I’ve no doubt that there are more KG IDPs in Xamar than there are Abgaal. Puntland allowed all IDPs the right to vote at the local level. @Jungle...
  9. Thegoodshepherd

    Puntland has the dumbest reporters in Somalia

    Minister tries to explain a simple constitutional provision, fails. Tries again, fails. Imagine how dumb these people are. Their IQs are probably below 80.
  10. Thegoodshepherd

    Somaliland’s finance minister: We spent $1.5 million a day in the war

    Unbelievable! He admitted that SL spent $1-$2 million a day during the 6 month war in Sool. No wonder these people are in shock. They really left nothing in the tank, that was all they had.
  11. Thegoodshepherd

    Funny coincidence

    If you draw a straight north-south line to divide woqoyie in half, that line would run through Oog. Oog is not the east of woqoyie, it is the center.
  12. Thegoodshepherd

    Somaliland’s 2nd largest city 32 years on

    Failed state
  13. Thegoodshepherd

    Kabtan Ayub doing mental damage to President and PM

    Everyone is calaacling about Kabtan Ayub without ever naming him. Cowards
  14. Thegoodshepherd

    I greatly overestimated Somaliland's state capacity, it's hollow

    In Jan 2023, 5 days after the start of the Las Anod conflict, I predicted that the conflict in SSC won't come to end until the 2030s. I was working under a few assumptions, all of which turned out to be mistaken: Somaliland has a much larger military budget so it should be able to wage war on a...
  15. Thegoodshepherd

    How much does Somaliland spend on Khat? I find out

    Somaliland Ministry of Finance published a year's end economic review of 2020. Can be found in the Annual Economic Performance 2020, search "Kat". https://slmof.org/reports/ They have since stopped reporting the volume and the value of imports. Somaliland imports more Khat by value than rice...
  16. Thegoodshepherd

    ANALYSIS German expert on SSC gives a great explanatory lecture

    Markus V. Hoehne, the foremost expert on SSC, explains the historical background of SSC-Khatumo.
  17. Thegoodshepherd

    British expert explains the SSC-Somaliland conflict

  18. Thegoodshepherd

    Something I noticed many SNM supporters say which I find funny

    You hear many SNM people say: If Harti want to draw a clan based border in Sool, Sanaag and Togdheer, why don't they first take back the land they inhabit in Ethiopia? It is a funny thing to say because it compares Somaliland to Ethiopia. Harti can't defeat Ethiopia militarily, if Harti could...
  19. Thegoodshepherd

    HSM is resisting famine declaration so that he does not look bad

    A small farming village on the outskirts of Baidoa in southwest Somalia is surrounded by dry land where crops cannot grow https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/06/world/africa/somalia-famine-hunger.html
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